Shamrock Rovers vs Drogheda United: prediction and stats
Premier DivisionRegular Season - 33Kick-off on October 9, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Tallaght Stadium, Dublin
The Footlab model makes Shamrock Rovers the favourite at 66%, against 21% for a draw and 13% for Drogheda United. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Shamrock Rovers vs Drogheda United?
Shamrock Rovers starts as the favourite with a 187-point Elo edge (1,773 vs 1,586).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shamrock Rovers have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Drogheda United have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | KuPS(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | St Patrick's Athl.(away) | 2-3 | FAI Cup |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë(away) | 1-5 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Dundalk(home) | 3-2 | Premier Division |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë(home) | 3-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | St Patrick's Athl.(home) | 0-2 | Premier Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | College Corinthians(away) | 3-0 | FAI Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Galway United(away) | 0-0 | Premier Division |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Shamrock Rovers(home) | 0-0 | Premier Division |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sligo Rovers(away) | 2-2 | Premier Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Shamrock Rovers win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Drogheda United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 2026 | Drogheda United 0-0 Shamrock Rovers | Premier Division |
| May 4, 2026 | Shamrock Rovers 4-1 Drogheda United | Premier Division |
| Mar 16, 2026 | Drogheda United 0-0 Shamrock Rovers | Premier Division |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Drogheda United 1-1 Shamrock Rovers | FAI Cup |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Shamrock Rovers 2-1 Drogheda United | Premier Division |
| Jun 16, 2025 | Drogheda United 1-2 Shamrock Rovers | Premier Division |
Last archived meeting: Drogheda United vs Shamrock Rovers on Jul 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Shamrock Rovers score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Drogheda United score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shamrock Rovers | 1.9 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Drogheda United | 1.3 | 1.4 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Shamrock Rovers sit 1st in Premier Division (54 points from 27 matches) and Drogheda United sit 9th (28 points from 28 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 43 | 24 | 54 |
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 34 | 19 | 43 |
| 8 | Drogheda United | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 27 | 36 | 22 |
| 9 | Drogheda United | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 31 | 45 | 28 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Shamrock Rovers vs Drogheda United?
- The Footlab model makes Shamrock Rovers the favourite at 66%, against 21% for a draw and 13% for Drogheda United.
- Where and when is Shamrock Rovers vs Drogheda United played?
- Shamrock Rovers vs Drogheda United is played on October 9, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Tallaght Stadium, in the Premier Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.