Lincoln vs Norwich: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 21Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)LNER Stadium, Lincoln, Lincolnshire
The Footlab AI model makes Lincoln the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Norwich. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lincoln wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,577 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lincoln vs Norwich?
A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Lincoln (2,005) and Norwich (1,964).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lincoln vs Norwich
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lincoln
3-4-2-1- 34F. Draper
- 3A. Reach
- 24I. Varfolomeev
- 14C. McGrandles
- 18B. House
- 16D. Jefferies
- 17R. Street
- 25D. Elerewe
- 15S. Bradley
- 4A. Coubiș
- 1G. Wickens
Norwich
4-2-3-1- 30M. Kvistgaarden
- 7P. Mattsson
- 11A. Brooks
- 29O. Schwartau
- 16Jacob Wright
- 20A. Ben Slimane
- 15Ruairi McConville
- 33J. Córdoba
- 3J. Stacey
- 14B. Chrisene
- 1V. Kovačević
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 04:44 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lincoln have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Norwich have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Millwall(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Oct 14, 2026 | West Ham(home) | 0-6 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sheffield Utd(away) | 0-3 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Swansea(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Bristol City(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Portsmouth(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Southampton(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Swansea(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Bolton(home) | 3-4 | Championship |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Manchester City(away) | 0-5 | League Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Lincoln wins, 0 draws, 1 Norwich win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 20, 2021 | Norwich 1-0 Lincoln | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Lincoln score 1.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Norwich score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lincoln | 1.0 | 1.9 | 4 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Norwich | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lincoln sit 18th in Championship (11 points from 10 matches) and Norwich sit 20th (9 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Lincoln | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 11 |
| 20 | Norwich | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 17 | 20 | 9 |
A question about Lincoln vs Norwich?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lincoln vs Norwich?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lincoln the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Norwich.
- Where and when is Lincoln vs Norwich played?
- Lincoln vs Norwich is played on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at LNER Stadium, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.