Portsmouth vs Birmingham: prediction and stats
ChampionshipMatchday 21Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Fratton Park, Portsmouth
The Footlab AI model makes Birmingham the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Portsmouth. The most likely score is 1-1. If Birmingham wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,579 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Portsmouth vs Birmingham?
Birmingham starts as the favourite with a 104-point Elo edge (1,910 vs 1,805).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Portsmouth vs Birmingham
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Portsmouth
4-2-3-1- 17T. Shade
- 10A. Segecic
- 11A. Kamara
- 7M. Pack
- 38E. Adams
- 37I. Mohamed
- 55M. Dia
- 5R. Poole
- 16J. Meghoma
- 24T. Devlin
- 1N. Schmid
Birmingham
4-2-3-1- 9A. Priske
- 24T. Iwata
- 17L. Millar
- 28J. Stansfield
- 14J. Solis
- 16P. Roberts
- 5P. Neumann
- 4C. Klarer
- 20A. Cochrane
- 2E. Laird
- 21R. Allsop
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 12:39 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Portsmouth have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Birmingham have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Stoke City(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Nov 3, 2026 | Swansea(home) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Burnley(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Millwall(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Wolves(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Swansea(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Nov 3, 2026 | Millwall(home) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Lincoln(away) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Cardiff(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Oct 17, 2026 | QPR(home) | 3-0 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Portsmouth wins, 1 draw, 2 Birmingham wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Portsmouth 1-1 Birmingham | Championship |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Birmingham 4-0 Portsmouth | Championship |
| Aug 6, 2019 | Portsmouth 3-0 Birmingham | League Cup |
| Mar 20, 2012 | Portsmouth 4-1 Birmingham | Championship |
| Feb 7, 2012 | Birmingham 1-0 Portsmouth | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Portsmouth vs Birmingham on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Portsmouth score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Birmingham score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth | 1.3 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Birmingham | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Portsmouth sit 11th in Championship (22 points from 15 matches) and Birmingham sit 1st (29 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 28 | 14 | 29 |
| 11 | Portsmouth | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 22 |
A question about Portsmouth vs Birmingham?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Portsmouth vs Birmingham?
- The Footlab AI model makes Birmingham the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Portsmouth.
- Where and when is Portsmouth vs Birmingham played?
- Portsmouth vs Birmingham is played on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Fratton Park, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.