Tzeirey Tira vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 16Kick-off on December 25, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Tzeirey Tira the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Maccabi Kiryat Malachi. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tzeirey Tira vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi?
A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate Tzeirey Tira (1,691) and Maccabi Kiryat Malachi (1,645).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tzeirey Tira have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Maccabi Kiryat Malachi have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2026 | Dimona(away) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Nordia Jerusalem(home) | 5-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Maccabi Ashdod(away) | 3-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Hapoel Herzliya(home) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 23, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(away) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Holon Yermiyahu(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Beitar Yavne(home) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Hapoel Marmorek(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Azor(home) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | FC Jerusalem(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Tzeirey Tira win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Maccabi Kiryat Malachi win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi 2-1 Tzeirey Tira | Liga Alef |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Tzeirey Tira 1-2 Maccabi Kiryat Malachi | Liga Alef |
| Apr 22, 2025 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi 0-1 Tzeirey Tira | Liga Alef |
| Dec 20, 2024 | Tzeirey Tira 1-2 Maccabi Kiryat Malachi | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Maccabi Kiryat Malachi vs Tzeirey Tira on Jan 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tzeirey Tira score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Maccabi Kiryat Malachi score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tzeirey Tira | 1.7 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
| Maccabi Kiryat Malachi | 1.1 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tzeirey Tira sit 6th in Liga Alef (33 points from 21 matches) and Maccabi Kiryat Malachi sit 5th (35 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 27 | 27 | 35 |
| 6 | Tzeirey Tira | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 33 | 24 | 33 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tzeirey Tira vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi?
- The Footlab model makes Tzeirey Tira the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Maccabi Kiryat Malachi.
- Where and when is Tzeirey Tira vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi played?
- Tzeirey Tira vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi is played on December 25, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 25, 2026Maccabi AshdodvsHapoel Azor
- Dec 25, 2026Maccabi YavnevsHapoel Mahane Yehuda
- Dec 26, 2026Hapoel Ramat HaSharonvsHapoel Hadera
- Dec 26, 2026Hapoel MarmorekvsFC Jerusalem
- Dec 26, 2026Holon YermiyahuvsBeitar Yavne
- Dec 26, 2026Nordia JerusalemvsHapoel Sderot
- Dec 26, 2026Shimshon Tel AvivvsHapoel Herzliya
- Dec 26, 2026Kfar Saba 1928vsDimona