Sholing vs SE Dons: prediction and stats
FA Cup4th Round QualifyingKick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Mackoy Stadium, Southampton, Hampshire
The Footlab AI model makes Sholing the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for SE Dons. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sholing wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,356 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sholing vs SE Dons?
Sholing starts as the favourite with a 101-point Elo edge (1,907 vs 1,806).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sholing vs SE Dons
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sholing
Not enough data to predict the Sholing lineup.
SE Dons
Not enough data to predict the SE Dons lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 09:23 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sholing have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; SE Dons have 3, 0 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Chichester City(home) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Frome Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ebbsfleet United(away) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Berkhamsted(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Yate Town(away) | 1-0 | FA Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Weymouth(away) | 5-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Chichester City(away) | 3-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Erith Town(home) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Sholing score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; SE Dons score 3.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sholing | 1.3 | 1.1 | 8 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| SE Dons | 3.3 | 1.0 | 1 | 2/3 | 2/3 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Sholing vs SE Dons?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sholing vs SE Dons?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sholing the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for SE Dons.
- Where and when is Sholing vs SE Dons played?
- Sholing vs SE Dons is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Mackoy Stadium, in the FA Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.