Ulsan Citizen vs Siheung Citizen: prediction and stats
K3 LeagueRegular Season - 23Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 08:00 AM (UTC)Ulsan Complex Stadium, Ulsan
The Footlab model makes Siheung Citizen the favourite at 50%, against 29% for a draw and 21% for Ulsan Citizen. The most likely score is 0-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ulsan Citizen vs Siheung Citizen?
Siheung Citizen starts as the favourite with a 215-point Elo edge (1,784 vs 1,569).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ulsan Citizen have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Siheung Citizen have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Jeonbuk Motors II(away) | 1-0 | K3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Gwangju FC(home) | 0-1 | FA Cup |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Ulsan Hyundai FC(home) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Chuncheon(away) | 1-2 | K3 League |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Seoul E-Land FC(home) | 4-2 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Daejeon Korail(home) | 2-0 | K3 League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Asan Mugunghwa(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Gyeongju HNP(away) | 0-1 | K3 League |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Daegu FC(away) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Busan Transportation(home) | 0-2 | K3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Ulsan Citizen win(s), 0 draw(s), 6 Siheung Citizen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Ulsan Citizen 0-1 Siheung Citizen | K3 League |
| Sep 26, 2025 | Ulsan Citizen 0-1 Siheung Citizen | K3 League |
| May 31, 2025 | Siheung Citizen 2-1 Ulsan Citizen | K3 League |
| Jul 27, 2024 | Siheung Citizen 2-0 Ulsan Citizen | K3 League |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Ulsan Citizen 0-2 Siheung Citizen | K3 League |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Ulsan Citizen 1-2 Siheung Citizen | K3 League |
Last archived meeting: Ulsan Citizen vs Siheung Citizen on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ulsan Citizen score 1.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Siheung Citizen score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ulsan Citizen | 1.1 | 1.0 | 4 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Siheung Citizen | 1.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ulsan Citizen sit 10th in K3 League (22 points from 19 matches) and Siheung Citizen sit 1st (43 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Siheung Citizen | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 15 | 43 |
| 1 | Siheung Citizen | 15 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 23 | 11 | 39 |
| 10 | Ulsan Citizen | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 21 | 22 |
| 11 | Ulsan Citizen | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 13 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ulsan Citizen vs Siheung Citizen?
- The Footlab model makes Siheung Citizen the favourite at 50%, against 29% for a draw and 21% for Ulsan Citizen.
- Where and when is Ulsan Citizen vs Siheung Citizen played?
- Ulsan Citizen vs Siheung Citizen is played on October 3, 2026 at 08:00 AM (UTC) at Ulsan Complex Stadium, in the K3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.