Pamba Jiji vs Fountain Gate: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 29Kick-off on May 12, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Pamba Jiji the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Fountain Gate. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pamba Jiji vs Fountain Gate?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Pamba Jiji (1,499) and Fountain Gate (1,483).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pamba Jiji have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Fountain Gate have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Azam(away) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Simba(home) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Dodoma Jiji(home) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Coastal Union(away) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 27, 2026 | JKT Tanzania(home) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Mashujaa(home) | 1-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Singida Black Stars(away) | 0-3 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Singida Black Stars(home) | 4-3 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Namungo(away) | 0-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 24, 2026 | Mashujaa(home) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Pamba Jiji win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Fountain Gate win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 30, 2026 | Fountain Gate 1-2 Pamba Jiji | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Pamba Jiji 1-0 Fountain Gate | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Apr 8, 2025 | Pamba Jiji 1-1 Fountain Gate | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Nov 5, 2024 | Fountain Gate 1-3 Pamba Jiji | Ligi kuu Bara |
Last archived meeting: Fountain Gate vs Pamba Jiji on Apr 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pamba Jiji score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Fountain Gate score 1.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pamba Jiji | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Fountain Gate | 1.2 | 1.7 | 2 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pamba Jiji sit 12th in Ligi kuu Bara (1 points from 3 matches) and Fountain Gate sit 10th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Fountain Gate | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 12 | Pamba Jiji | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pamba Jiji vs Fountain Gate?
- The Footlab model makes Pamba Jiji the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Fountain Gate.
- Where and when is Pamba Jiji vs Fountain Gate played?
- Pamba Jiji vs Fountain Gate is played on May 12, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.