Young Africans vs Namungo: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 29Kick-off on May 12, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium, Dar-es-Salaam
The Footlab model makes Young Africans the favourite at 82%, against 13% for a draw and 4% for Namungo. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Young Africans vs Namungo?
Young Africans is a heavy favourite: 1,971 Elo points against 1,538 — a 433-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Young Africans have 13 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats; Namungo have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Coastal Union(home) | 4-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Namungo(away) | 3-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 30, 2026 | JKT Tanzania(away) | 3-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Tabora United(home) | 3-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 24, 2026 | Azam(home) | 3-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Geita Gold(home) | 1-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Young Africans(home) | 1-3 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Mtibwa Sugar(home) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Fountain Gate(home) | 0-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 24, 2026 | KMC(away) | 3-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Young Africans win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Namungo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Namungo 1-3 Young Africans | Ligi kuu Bara |
| May 25, 2026 | Young Africans 3-1 Namungo | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Namungo 0-1 Young Africans | Ligi kuu Bara |
| May 13, 2025 | Young Africans 3-0 Namungo | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Namungo 0-2 Young Africans | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Mar 8, 2024 | Namungo 1-3 Young Africans | Ligi kuu Bara |
Last archived meeting: Namungo vs Young Africans on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Young Africans score 2.9 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Namungo score 0.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Young Africans | 2.9 | 0.5 | 10 | 5/15 | 12/15 |
| Namungo | 0.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Young Africans sit 3rd in Ligi kuu Bara (6 points from 2 matches) and Namungo sit 8th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Young Africans | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 6 |
| 8 | Namungo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Young Africans vs Namungo?
- The Footlab model makes Young Africans the favourite at 82%, against 13% for a draw and 4% for Namungo.
- Where and when is Young Africans vs Namungo played?
- Young Africans vs Namungo is played on May 12, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium, in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.