Mashujaa vs Azam: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 29Kick-off on May 12, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Lake Tanganyika Stadium, Kigoma
The Footlab model makes Azam the favourite at 47%, against 32% for a draw and 21% for Mashujaa. The most likely score is 0-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mashujaa vs Azam?
Azam starts as the favourite with a 294-point Elo edge (1,818 vs 1,525).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mashujaa have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Azam have 12, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Mbeya City(away) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Fountain Gate(away) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Coastal Union(away) | 1-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Tanzania Prisons(home) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 27, 2026 | KMC(home) | 2-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Pamba Jiji(home) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Tabora United(home) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Polisi Tanzania(away) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Dodoma Jiji(home) | 2-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Coastal Union(away) | 2-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Mashujaa win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Azam win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 16, 2026 | Azam 2-0 Mashujaa | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Mar 19, 2026 | Mashujaa 0-0 Azam | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Azam 2-0 Mashujaa | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Mashujaa 0-0 Azam | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Apr 17, 2024 | Azam 0-0 Mashujaa | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Nov 1, 2023 | Mashujaa 0-3 Azam | Ligi kuu Bara |
How many goals should we expect?
Mashujaa score 0.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Azam score 1.9 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 29% probability of over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mashujaa | 0.5 | 0.9 | 6 | 3/15 | 2/15 |
| Azam | 1.9 | 0.7 | 10 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mashujaa sit 9th in Ligi kuu Bara (3 points from 3 matches) and Azam sit 3rd (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Azam | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
| 9 | Mashujaa | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mashujaa vs Azam?
- The Footlab model makes Azam the favourite at 47%, against 32% for a draw and 21% for Mashujaa.
- Where and when is Mashujaa vs Azam played?
- Mashujaa vs Azam is played on May 12, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Lake Tanganyika Stadium, in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 29% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.