Mashujaa vs Azam: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 29Kick-off on May 12, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Lake Tanganyika Stadium, Kigoma
The Footlab AI model makes Azam the favourite at 56%, against 26% for a draw and 18% for Mashujaa. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mashujaa vs Azam?
Azam starts as the favourite with a 274-point Elo edge (1,850 vs 1,576).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mashujaa vs Azam
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mashujaa
4-3-3- 45Michael Joseph
- 7C. Mhagama
- 51M. Vuai
- 27S. Madeleke
- 6B. Mtuwi
- 23T. Simba
- 3H. Lyawatwa
- 20M. Mwakinyuke
- 19S. Mgandila
- 4S. Onditi
- 43M. Malik
Azam
4-3-3- 19G. Sillah
- 11Naldo
- 20H. Molia
- 23H. Mao
- 6F. Salum
- 4Donovan Stephane Makoma
- 5L. Mwaikenda
- 2N. Idumba
- 12P. Msindo
- 13T. Abdulrafiu
- 28A. Manula
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mashujaa have 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 defeats; Azam have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Simba(away) | 1-6 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Polisi Tanzania(home) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Singida Black Stars(home) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Dodoma Jiji(away) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 27, 2026 | Kagera Sugar(home) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Coastal Union(away) | 2-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Simba(home) | 0-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Namungo(home) | 2-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Kagera Sugar(away) | 2-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Geita Gold(away) | 2-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Mashujaa wins, 3 draws, 3 Azam wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 16, 2026 | Azam 2-0 Mashujaa | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Mar 19, 2026 | Mashujaa 0-0 Azam | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Azam 2-0 Mashujaa | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Mashujaa 0-0 Azam | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Apr 17, 2024 | Azam 0-0 Mashujaa | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Nov 1, 2023 | Mashujaa 0-3 Azam | Ligi kuu Bara |
How many goals should we expect?
Mashujaa score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Azam score 1.7 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mashujaa | 0.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Azam | 1.7 | 0.7 | 9 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mashujaa sit 4th in Ligi kuu Bara (12 points from 8 matches) and Azam sit 3rd (17 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Azam | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 17 |
| 4 | Mashujaa | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 12 |
A question about Mashujaa vs Azam?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mashujaa vs Azam?
- The Footlab AI model makes Azam the favourite at 56%, against 26% for a draw and 18% for Mashujaa.
- Where and when is Mashujaa vs Azam played?
- Mashujaa vs Azam is played on May 12, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Lake Tanganyika Stadium, in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.