Sirens vs Zurrieq: prediction and stats
Challenge LeagueRegular Season - 1Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Sirens Stadium, St. Paul's Bay
The Footlab model makes Sirens the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Zurrieq. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sirens vs Zurrieq?
A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Sirens (1,283) and Zurrieq (1,251).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sirens have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Zurrieq have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Birzebbuga(away) | 2-3 | Challenge League |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Pietà Hotspurs(home) | 3-4 | Challenge League |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Balzan FC(home) | 0-1 | Challenge League |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Fgura United(home) | 3-2 | Challenge League |
| Mar 7, 2026 | St. Andrews(away) | 3-0 | Challenge League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Mgarr United(home) | 4-2 | Challenge League |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Santa Lucía(away) | 0-3 | Challenge League |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Marsa(home) | 2-1 | Challenge League |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Zebbug Rangers(home) | 3-3 | Challenge League |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Mtarfa(away) | 2-0 | Challenge League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Sirens win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Zurrieq win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Sirens 1-0 Zurrieq | Challenge League |
| Dec 22, 2024 | Sirens 2-2 Zurrieq | Challenge League |
How many goals should we expect?
Sirens score 2.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Zurrieq score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sirens | 2.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Zurrieq | 1.8 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sirens sit 5th in Challenge League (35 points from 22 matches) and Zurrieq sit 4th (27 points from 22 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Zurrieq | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 36 | 38 | 27 |
| 5 | Sirens | 22 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 50 | 33 | 35 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sirens vs Zurrieq?
- The Footlab model makes Sirens the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Zurrieq.
- Where and when is Sirens vs Zurrieq played?
- Sirens vs Zurrieq is played on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Sirens Stadium, in the Challenge League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.