Zebbug Rangers vs Fgura United: prediction and stats
Challenge LeagueRegular Season - 1Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Zebbug Ground, Città Rohan
The Footlab model makes Fgura United the favourite at 62%, against 20% for a draw and 18% for Zebbug Rangers. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Zebbug Rangers vs Fgura United?
Fgura United starts as the favourite with a 158-point Elo edge (1,275 vs 1,118).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zebbug Rangers have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Fgura United have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Marsa(home) | 1-1 | Challenge League |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Vittoriosa Stars(away) | 1-0 | Challenge League |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Gudja United(away) | 2-1 | Challenge League |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Zurrieq(away) | 3-3 | Challenge League |
| Mar 8, 2026 | Mgarr United(home) | 0-2 | Challenge League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Swieqi United(away) | 1-1 | Challenge League |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Melita(away) | 1-0 | Challenge League |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Pietà Hotspurs(home) | 0-4 | Challenge League |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Sirens(away) | 2-3 | Challenge League |
| Mar 10, 2026 | Balzan FC(home) | 1-2 | Challenge League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Zebbug Rangers win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Fgura United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 2025 | Zebbug Rangers 0-1 Fgura United | Challenge League |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Fgura United 5-1 Zebbug Rangers | Challenge League |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Zebbug Rangers 0-0 Fgura United | Challenge League |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Zebbug Rangers 1-0 Fgura United | Challenge League |
| Feb 3, 2024 | Zebbug Rangers 1-3 Fgura United | Challenge League |
| Jan 21, 2022 | Zebbug Rangers 2-1 Fgura United | Challenge League |
Last archived meeting: Zebbug Rangers vs Fgura United on Sep 14, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Zebbug Rangers score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Fgura United score 1.2 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zebbug Rangers | 1.3 | 1.9 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Fgura United | 1.2 | 2.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Zebbug Rangers sit 6th in Challenge League (20 points from 22 matches) and Fgura United sit 7th (32 points from 22 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Zebbug Rangers | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 23 | 45 | 20 |
| 7 | Fgura United | 22 | 10 | 2 | 10 | 41 | 37 | 32 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Zebbug Rangers vs Fgura United?
- The Footlab model makes Fgura United the favourite at 62%, against 20% for a draw and 18% for Zebbug Rangers.
- Where and when is Zebbug Rangers vs Fgura United played?
- Zebbug Rangers vs Fgura United is played on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Zebbug Ground, in the Challenge League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.