Victoria Hotspurs vs St. Andrews: prediction and stats
Challenge LeagueRegular Season - 1Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Gozo Stadium, Gozo
The Footlab model makes Victoria Hotspurs the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for St. Andrews. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Victoria Hotspurs vs St. Andrews?
A very open match: only 84 Elo points separate Victoria Hotspurs (1,282) and St. Andrews (1,198).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 9 matches in all competitions, Victoria Hotspurs have 4 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats; St. Andrews have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | Hamrun Spartans(away) | 0-5 | FA Trophy |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Xaghra United(home) | 3-1 | FA Trophy |
| Feb 6, 2025 | Floriana(home) | 1-4 | FA Trophy |
| Jan 10, 2025 | Xaghra United(away) | 5-1 | FA Trophy |
| Dec 7, 2024 | Senglea Athletic(home) | 3-0 | FA Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 27, 2026 | Brechin(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Pietà Hotspurs(away) | 2-2 | Challenge League |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Swieqi United(home) | 0-1 | Challenge League |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Birzebbuga(home) | 1-3 | Challenge League |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Melita(away) | 0-3 | Challenge League |
How many goals should we expect?
Victoria Hotspurs score 1.8 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 9; St. Andrews score 1.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victoria Hotspurs | 1.8 | 2.2 | 2 | 5/9 | 7/9 |
| St. Andrews | 1.1 | 1.9 | 0 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 9 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | St. Andrews | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 26 | 38 | 27 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Victoria Hotspurs vs St. Andrews?
- The Footlab model makes Victoria Hotspurs the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for St. Andrews.
- Where and when is Victoria Hotspurs vs St. Andrews played?
- Victoria Hotspurs vs St. Andrews is played on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Gozo Stadium, in the Challenge League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.