Skjold Sæby vs Espergærde: prediction and stats
DBU PokalenRound of 64Kick-off on August 25, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Fælledparken, København
The Footlab model makes Espergærde the favourite at 72%, against 16% for a draw and 12% for Skjold Sæby. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Skjold Sæby vs Espergærde?
A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Skjold Sæby (1,572) and Espergærde (1,549).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Skjold Sæby have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Espergærde have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2026 | Maribo(away) | 6-0 | DBU Pokalen |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Gørslev(home) | 1-1 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Ringsted(away) | 0-1 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Fredensborg BI(home) | 3-0 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Skovshoved(away) | 3-1 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | BSI(away) | 7-1 | DBU Pokalen |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Næstved II(home) | 4-1 | Denmark Series - Group 1 |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Såby(away) | 3-0 | Denmark Series - Group 1 |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Avarta(home) | 1-0 | Denmark Series - Group 1 |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Tårnby FF(home) | 1-2 | Denmark Series - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Skjold Sæby score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Espergærde score 2.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skjold Sæby | 1.8 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Espergærde | 2.0 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Skjold Sæby vs Espergærde?
- The Footlab model makes Espergærde the favourite at 72%, against 16% for a draw and 12% for Skjold Sæby.
- Where and when is Skjold Sæby vs Espergærde played?
- Skjold Sæby vs Espergærde is played on August 25, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Fælledparken, in the DBU Pokalen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.