Skovshoved vs Tårnby FF: prediction and stats
DBU PokalenRound of 64Kick-off on August 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Skovshoved IP, Klampenborg
The Footlab model makes Tårnby FF the favourite at 84%, against 10% for a draw and 6% for Skovshoved. The most likely score is 0-3.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Skovshoved vs Tårnby FF?
Tårnby FF starts as the favourite with a 135-point Elo edge (1,587 vs 1,451).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Skovshoved have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Tårnby FF have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2026 | Vigerslev(away) | 1-0 | DBU Pokalen |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Ringsted(home) | 1-3 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Fredensborg BI(away) | 3-0 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Sydkysten(home) | 3-3 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Skjold Sæby(home) | 1-3 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2026 | Frederiksholm Sydhavnen(away) | 8-1 | DBU Pokalen |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Herlev(home) | 3-3 | Denmark Series - Group 1 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Næstved II(away) | 1-5 | Denmark Series - Group 1 |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Såby(home) | 1-2 | Denmark Series - Group 1 |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Espergærde(away) | 2-1 | Denmark Series - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Skovshoved win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Tårnby FF win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 10, 2022 | Tårnby FF 3-1 Skovshoved | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
| May 17, 2022 | Skovshoved 1-0 Tårnby FF | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
| Sep 25, 2021 | Tårnby FF 3-0 Skovshoved | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Tårnby FF vs Skovshoved on Jun 10, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Skovshoved score 1.7 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Tårnby FF score 1.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 82% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skovshoved | 1.7 | 2.0 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Tårnby FF | 1.9 | 1.7 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Skovshoved vs Tårnby FF?
- The Footlab model makes Tårnby FF the favourite at 84%, against 10% for a draw and 6% for Skovshoved.
- Where and when is Skovshoved vs Tårnby FF played?
- Skovshoved vs Tårnby FF is played on August 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Skovshoved IP, in the DBU Pokalen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 82% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.