Where and when is Jagiellonia vs Slask Wroclaw played?

Jagiellonia vs Slask Wroclaw is played on September 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the Ekstraklasa.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Jagiellonia vs Slask Wroclaw: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Białystok

Jagiellonia

Slask Wroclaw

The Footlab model makes Jagiellonia the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Slask Wroclaw. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Jagiellonia vs Slask Wroclaw?

A very open match: only 99 Elo points separate Jagiellonia (2,057) and Slask Wroclaw (1,958).

Jagiellonia win55 %

Draw24 %

Slask Wroclaw win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jagiellonia have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Slask Wroclaw have 7, 6 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Jagiellonia
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 20, 2026	Saburtalo(home)	4-0	UEFA Europa League
Aug 13, 2026	Rangers(away)	1-1	UEFA Europa League
Aug 9, 2026	Widzew Łódź(home)	0-2	Ekstraklasa
Aug 6, 2026	Rangers(home)	2-1	UEFA Europa League
Jul 31, 2026	Motor Lublin(away)	2-1	Ekstraklasa

Slask Wroclaw
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Widzew Łódź(home)	3-3	Ekstraklasa
Aug 15, 2026	Zaglebie Lubin(away)	1-2	Ekstraklasa
Aug 9, 2026	Cracovia Krakow(home)	0-0	Ekstraklasa
Aug 2, 2026	Raków Częstochowa(home)	2-1	Ekstraklasa
Jul 25, 2026	Gornik Zabrze(away)	1-2	Ekstraklasa

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Jagiellonia win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Slask Wroclaw win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 16, 2025	Slask Wroclaw 1-1 Jagiellonia	Ekstraklasa
Nov 22, 2024	Jagiellonia 2-2 Slask Wroclaw	Ekstraklasa
Mar 8, 2024	Jagiellonia 3-1 Slask Wroclaw	Ekstraklasa
Sep 26, 2023	Jagiellonia 2-0 Slask Wroclaw	Cup
Sep 3, 2023	Slask Wroclaw 2-1 Jagiellonia	Ekstraklasa
May 5, 2023	Jagiellonia 1-1 Slask Wroclaw	Ekstraklasa

Last archived meeting: Slask Wroclaw vs Jagiellonia on May 16, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Jagiellonia score 1.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Slask Wroclaw score 2.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Jagiellonia	1.7	0.7	7	7/15	7/15
Slask Wroclaw	2.1	1.1	5	10/15	12/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Jagiellonia sit 9th in Ekstraklasa (6 points from 3 matches) and Slask Wroclaw sit 11th (5 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	Jagiellonia	3	2	0	1	3	3	6
11	Slask Wroclaw	5	1	2	2	7	8	5

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Jagiellonia vs Slask Wroclaw?: The Footlab model makes Jagiellonia the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Slask Wroclaw.
Where and when is Jagiellonia vs Slask Wroclaw played?: Jagiellonia vs Slask Wroclaw is played on September 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.