Bate Borisov vs Slavia Mozyr: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 24Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Borisov Arena, Borisov
The Footlab model makes Slavia Mozyr the favourite at 35%, against 31% for a draw and 35% for Bate Borisov. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bate Borisov vs Slavia Mozyr?
A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate Bate Borisov (1,653) and Slavia Mozyr (1,691).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bate Borisov have 2 wins, 9 draws and 4 defeats; Slavia Mozyr have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | ML Vitebsk(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Vitebsk(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Baranovichi(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | FC Sion(away) | 0-4 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 23, 2026 | FC Sion(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Gomel(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Arsenal(away) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | FC Dnepr Mogilev(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Dinamo Brest(home) | 2-1 | Coppa |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Volna(away) | 5-0 | Coppa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Bate Borisov win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Slavia Mozyr win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Slavia Mozyr 1-1 Bate Borisov | Premier League |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Bate Borisov 2-0 Slavia Mozyr | Coppa |
| Apr 15, 2026 | Slavia Mozyr 0-1 Bate Borisov | Coppa |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Bate Borisov 1-1 Slavia Mozyr | Premier League |
| Jun 20, 2025 | Slavia Mozyr 1-1 Bate Borisov | Premier League |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Slavia Mozyr 2-3 Bate Borisov | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Slavia Mozyr vs Bate Borisov on May 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bate Borisov score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Slavia Mozyr score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bate Borisov | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Slavia Mozyr | 1.5 | 1.2 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bate Borisov sit 14th in Premier League (14 points from 17 matches) and Slavia Mozyr sit 10th (22 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Slavia Mozyr | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 23 | 22 |
| 14 | Bate Borisov | 17 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 14 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bate Borisov vs Slavia Mozyr?
- The Footlab model makes Slavia Mozyr the favourite at 35%, against 31% for a draw and 35% for Bate Borisov.
- Where and when is Bate Borisov vs Slavia Mozyr played?
- Bate Borisov vs Slavia Mozyr is played on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Borisov Arena, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.