Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Slavia Sofia: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Lokomotiv, Plovdiv
The Footlab AI model makes Lokomotiv Plovdiv the favourite at 40%, against 31% for a draw and 29% for Slavia Sofia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lokomotiv Plovdiv wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Slavia Sofia?
A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Lokomotiv Plovdiv (1,756) and Slavia Sofia (1,707).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Slavia Sofia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
4-2-3-1- 29Christ Longville
- 5T. Pavlov
- 39P. Umarbayev
- 7Sevi Idriz
- 11R. Leijten
- 12E. Ali
- 2Adrián Cova
- 13Lucas Ryan
- 4A. Chindriş
- 22I. Ivanov
- 1B. Milosavljevic
Slavia Sofia
4-2-3-1- 77E. Stoev
- 95V. Miletić
- 73I. Minchev
- 10V. Nikolov
- 11M. Dosso
- 27Umaro Baldé
- 5David Malembana
- 87D. Ferraresso
- 4N. Savić
- 20J. Semedo Varela
- 99I. Andonov
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:53 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lokomotiv Plovdiv have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Slavia Sofia have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Arda Kardzhali(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | CSKA Sofia(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Botev Plovdiv(away) | 0-2 | First League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Cherno More Varna(home) | 1-0 | First League |
| Aug 28, 2026 | CSKA 1948(away) | 0-2 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Botev Vratsa(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 18, 2026 | CSKA 1948(home) | 1-2 | First League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Spartak Varna(home) | 0-0 | First League |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Dunav Ruse(away) | 1-0 | First League |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Levski Sofia(home) | 1-2 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Lokomotiv Plovdiv wins, 0 draws, 3 Slavia Sofia wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2026 | Slavia Sofia 0-2 Lokomotiv Plovdiv | First League |
| Aug 15, 2025 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv 2-1 Slavia Sofia | First League |
| May 19, 2025 | Slavia Sofia 1-2 Lokomotiv Plovdiv | First League |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0-1 Slavia Sofia | First League |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Slavia Sofia 2-1 Lokomotiv Plovdiv | First League |
| Jul 3, 2024 | Slavia Sofia 1-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Slavia Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv on Feb 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lokomotiv Plovdiv score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Slavia Sofia score 1.1 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 0.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| Slavia Sofia | 1.1 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lokomotiv Plovdiv sit 12th in First League (7 points from 10 matches) and Slavia Sofia sit 7th (11 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Slavia Sofia | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 11 |
| 12 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 7 |
A question about Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Slavia Sofia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Slavia Sofia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lokomotiv Plovdiv the favourite at 40%, against 31% for a draw and 29% for Slavia Sofia.
- Where and when is Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Slavia Sofia played?
- Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Slavia Sofia is played on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Lokomotiv, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.