Where and when is Warta Gorzów vs Ślęza Wrocław played?

Warta Gorzów vs Ślęza Wrocław is played on September 26, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion OSiR ul. Olimpijska, in the III Liga - Group 3.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Warta Gorzów vs Ślęza Wrocław: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 3Group III - 10Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion OSiR ul. Olimpijska, Gorzów Wielkopolski

Warta Gorzów

Ślęza Wrocław

The Footlab model makes Warta Gorzów the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Ślęza Wrocław. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Warta Gorzów vs Ślęza Wrocław?

A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Warta Gorzów (1,762) and Ślęza Wrocław (1,728).

Warta Gorzów win62 %

Draw21 %

Ślęza Wrocław win17 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Warta Gorzów have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Ślęza Wrocław have 5, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Warta Gorzów
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Odra Bytom Odrzański(away)	1-0	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026	Górnik Polkowice(home)	0-0	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 15, 2026	Barycz Sułów(away)	2-2	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 8, 2026	Carina Gubin(home)	2-1	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 1, 2026	ROW Rybnik(away)	1-5	III Liga - Group 3

Ślęza Wrocław
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Sparta Katowice(away)	0-3	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026	Zaglebie Sosnowiec(away)	1-3	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 15, 2026	Goczałkowice Zdrój(away)	2-0	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 7, 2026	Stal Brzeg(away)	1-5	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 1, 2026	Stilon Gorzów(away)	1-3	III Liga - Group 3

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Warta Gorzów win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Ślęza Wrocław win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 17, 2026	Ślęza Wrocław 0-0 Warta Gorzów	III Liga - Group 3
Sep 27, 2025	Warta Gorzów 4-1 Ślęza Wrocław	III Liga - Group 3
Mar 29, 2025	Ślęza Wrocław 0-0 Warta Gorzów	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 31, 2024	Warta Gorzów 1-1 Ślęza Wrocław	III Liga - Group 3
Jun 1, 2024	Warta Gorzów 5-0 Ślęza Wrocław	III Liga - Group 3
Nov 11, 2023	Ślęza Wrocław 4-1 Warta Gorzów	III Liga - Group 3

Last archived meeting: Ślęza Wrocław vs Warta Gorzów on Apr 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Warta Gorzów score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Ślęza Wrocław score 1.3 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Warta Gorzów	0.9	1.4	6	7/15	7/15
Ślęza Wrocław	1.3	2.1	3	10/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Warta Gorzów sit 10th in III Liga - Group 3 (8 points from 5 matches) and Ślęza Wrocław sit 16th (3 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
10	Warta Gorzów	5	2	2	1	6	8	8
16	Ślęza Wrocław	5	1	0	4	5	14	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Warta Gorzów vs Ślęza Wrocław?: The Footlab model makes Warta Gorzów the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Ślęza Wrocław.
Where and when is Warta Gorzów vs Ślęza Wrocław played?: Warta Gorzów vs Ślęza Wrocław is played on September 26, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion OSiR ul. Olimpijska, in the III Liga - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.