Match

Slivnishki geroy vs CSKA Sofia III: prediction and stats

Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 9Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Gradski stadion, Slivnitsa

Slivnishki geroyCSKA Sofia III

The Footlab model makes Slivnishki geroy the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for CSKA Sofia III. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Slivnishki geroy vs CSKA Sofia III?

A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate Slivnishki geroy (1,420) and CSKA Sofia III (1,490).

Slivnishki geroy win41 %
Draw28 %
CSKA Sofia III win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Slivnishki geroy have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; CSKA Sofia III have 6, 7 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Slivnishki geroy
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Levski Sofia II(home)1-0Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026Slavia Sofia II(away)2-1Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026Botev Ihtiman(home)2-3Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026Kyustendil(away)1-2Third League - Southwest
May 30, 2026Slavia Sofia II(home)0-3Third League - Southwest
CSKA Sofia III
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Kyustendil(home)1-1Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026Septemvri Simitli(away)0-0Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026Strumska Slava(home)0-0Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026Oborishte(away)1-1Third League - Southwest
May 30, 2026Kostinbrod(home)1-0Third League - Southwest

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Slivnishki geroy win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 CSKA Sofia III win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 28, 2026CSKA Sofia III 2-1 Slivnishki geroyThird League - Southwest
Aug 23, 2025Slivnishki geroy 1-0 CSKA Sofia IIIThird League - Southwest
Mar 12, 2025CSKA Sofia III 1-1 Slivnishki geroyThird League - Southwest
Aug 17, 2024Slivnishki geroy 1-1 CSKA Sofia IIIThird League - Southwest

Last archived meeting: CSKA Sofia III vs Slivnishki geroy on Feb 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Slivnishki geroy score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; CSKA Sofia III score 1.1 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Slivnishki geroy1.51.258/1510/15
CSKA Sofia III1.10.776/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Slivnishki geroy sit 8th in Third League - Southwest (6 points from 4 matches) and CSKA Sofia III sit 12th (4 points from 4 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Slivnishki geroy4202666
12CSKA Sofia III4040224

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Slivnishki geroy vs CSKA Sofia III?
The Footlab model makes Slivnishki geroy the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for CSKA Sofia III.
Where and when is Slivnishki geroy vs CSKA Sofia III played?
Slivnishki geroy vs CSKA Sofia III is played on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Gradski stadion, in the Third League - Southwest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Slivnishki geroy and CSKA Sofia III

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