Slivnishki geroy vs CSKA Sofia III: prediction and stats
Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 9Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Gradski stadion, Slivnitsa
The Footlab model makes Slivnishki geroy the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for CSKA Sofia III. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Slivnishki geroy vs CSKA Sofia III?
A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate Slivnishki geroy (1,420) and CSKA Sofia III (1,490).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Slivnishki geroy have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; CSKA Sofia III have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Levski Sofia II(home) | 1-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Slavia Sofia II(away) | 2-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Botev Ihtiman(home) | 2-3 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kyustendil(away) | 1-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 30, 2026 | Slavia Sofia II(home) | 0-3 | Third League - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kyustendil(home) | 1-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Septemvri Simitli(away) | 0-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Strumska Slava(home) | 0-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Oborishte(away) | 1-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 30, 2026 | Kostinbrod(home) | 1-0 | Third League - Southwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Slivnishki geroy win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 CSKA Sofia III win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | CSKA Sofia III 2-1 Slivnishki geroy | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Slivnishki geroy 1-0 CSKA Sofia III | Third League - Southwest |
| Mar 12, 2025 | CSKA Sofia III 1-1 Slivnishki geroy | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Slivnishki geroy 1-1 CSKA Sofia III | Third League - Southwest |
Last archived meeting: CSKA Sofia III vs Slivnishki geroy on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Slivnishki geroy score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; CSKA Sofia III score 1.1 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slivnishki geroy | 1.5 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| CSKA Sofia III | 1.1 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Slivnishki geroy sit 8th in Third League - Southwest (6 points from 4 matches) and CSKA Sofia III sit 12th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Slivnishki geroy | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| 12 | CSKA Sofia III | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Slivnishki geroy vs CSKA Sofia III?
- The Footlab model makes Slivnishki geroy the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for CSKA Sofia III.
- Where and when is Slivnishki geroy vs CSKA Sofia III played?
- Slivnishki geroy vs CSKA Sofia III is played on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Gradski stadion, in the Third League - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 26, 2026Strumska SlavavsBelasitsa
- Sep 26, 2026Botev IhtimanvsFK Minyor Pernik
- Sep 26, 2026KyustendilvsBansko
- Sep 26, 2026Septemvri SimitlivsOborishte
- Sep 26, 2026KostinbrodvsBalkan Botevgrad
- Sep 26, 2026Septemvri Sofia IIvsChavdar Etropole
- Sep 26, 2026Levski Sofia IIvsNatsional Sofia
- Sep 26, 2026Slavia Sofia IIvsPirin Razlog