Where and when is Kostinbrod vs Balkan Botevgrad played?

Kostinbrod vs Balkan Botevgrad is played on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Georgi Benkovski, in the Third League - Southwest.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Kostinbrod vs Balkan Botevgrad: prediction and stats

Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 9Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Georgi Benkovski, Kostinbrod

Kostinbrod

Balkan Botevgrad

The Footlab model makes Kostinbrod the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Balkan Botevgrad. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kostinbrod vs Balkan Botevgrad?

A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Kostinbrod (1,437) and Balkan Botevgrad (1,484).

Kostinbrod win45 %

Draw28 %

Balkan Botevgrad win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kostinbrod have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Balkan Botevgrad have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kostinbrod
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Slavia Sofia II(home)	1-0	Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026	Botev Ihtiman(away)	0-1	Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026	Kyustendil(home)	3-1	Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026	Septemvri Simitli(away)	0-2	Third League - Southwest
May 30, 2026	CSKA Sofia III(away)	0-1	Third League - Southwest

Balkan Botevgrad
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Botev Ihtiman(home)	1-0	Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026	Kyustendil(away)	1-0	Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026	Septemvri Simitli(home)	1-2	Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026	Strumska Slava(away)	0-2	Third League - Southwest
May 29, 2026	Bansko(away)	2-0	Third League - Southwest

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Kostinbrod win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Balkan Botevgrad win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 21, 2026	Kostinbrod 1-0 Balkan Botevgrad	Third League - Southwest
Sep 13, 2025	Balkan Botevgrad 2-2 Kostinbrod	Third League - Southwest
Apr 27, 2024	Kostinbrod 1-0 Balkan Botevgrad	Third League - Southwest
Oct 7, 2023	Balkan Botevgrad 4-1 Kostinbrod	Third League - Southwest
May 6, 2023	Balkan Botevgrad 2-2 Kostinbrod	Third League - Southwest
Mar 25, 2023	Kostinbrod 0-1 Balkan Botevgrad	Third League - Southwest

Last archived meeting: Kostinbrod vs Balkan Botevgrad on Mar 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Kostinbrod score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Balkan Botevgrad score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Kostinbrod	0.9	1.3	4	5/15	6/15
Balkan Botevgrad	1.3	1.1	7	6/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kostinbrod sit 10th in Third League - Southwest (6 points from 4 matches) and Balkan Botevgrad sit 11th (6 points from 4 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
10	Kostinbrod	4	2	0	2	4	4	6
11	Balkan Botevgrad	4	2	0	2	3	4	6

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kostinbrod vs Balkan Botevgrad?: The Footlab model makes Kostinbrod the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Balkan Botevgrad.
Where and when is Kostinbrod vs Balkan Botevgrad played?: Kostinbrod vs Balkan Botevgrad is played on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Georgi Benkovski, in the Third League - Southwest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.