Where and when is Septemvri Sofia II vs Chavdar Etropole played?

Septemvri Sofia II vs Chavdar Etropole is played on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion German, in the Third League - Southwest.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Septemvri Sofia II vs Chavdar Etropole: prediction and stats

Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 9Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion German, German

Septemvri Sofia II

Chavdar Etropole

The Footlab model makes Septemvri Sofia II the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Chavdar Etropole. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Septemvri Sofia II vs Chavdar Etropole?

A very open match: only 89 Elo points separate Septemvri Sofia II (1,510) and Chavdar Etropole (1,599).

Septemvri Sofia II win62 %

Draw22 %

Chavdar Etropole win16 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Septemvri Sofia II have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Chavdar Etropole have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Septemvri Sofia II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Belasitsa(away)	1-2	Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026	Levski Sofia II(away)	1-1	Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026	Slavia Sofia II(home)	1-0	Third League - Southwest
Aug 2, 2026	Botev Ihtiman(away)	2-1	Third League - Southwest
May 29, 2026	Levski Sofia II(away)	2-0	Third League - Southwest

Chavdar Etropole
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Septemvri Simitli(home)	4-2	Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026	Strumska Slava(away)	1-2	Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026	Oborishte(home)	1-1	Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026	Bansko(away)	0-3	Third League - Southwest
Feb 17, 2024	CSKA Sofia II(away)	0-3	Third League - Southwest

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Septemvri Sofia II win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Chavdar Etropole win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Dec 2, 2023	Septemvri Sofia II 0-1 Chavdar Etropole	Third League - Southwest
Dec 4, 2022	Chavdar Etropole 2-2 Septemvri Sofia II	Third League - Southwest
Sep 17, 2022	Septemvri Sofia II 0-3 Chavdar Etropole	Third League - Southwest
May 4, 2022	Chavdar Etropole 2-0 Septemvri Sofia II	Third League - Southwest
Nov 3, 2021	Septemvri Sofia II 0-4 Chavdar Etropole	Third League - Southwest

Last archived meeting: Septemvri Sofia II vs Chavdar Etropole on Dec 2, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

Septemvri Sofia II score 1.8 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Chavdar Etropole score 2.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Septemvri Sofia II	1.8	0.8	8	7/15	8/15
Chavdar Etropole	2.2	1.1	6	7/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Septemvri Sofia II sit 7th in Third League - Southwest (7 points from 4 matches) and Chavdar Etropole sit 14th (4 points from 4 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	Septemvri Sofia II	4	2	1	1	5	4	7
14	Chavdar Etropole	4	1	1	2	6	8	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Septemvri Sofia II vs Chavdar Etropole?: The Footlab model makes Septemvri Sofia II the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Chavdar Etropole.
Where and when is Septemvri Sofia II vs Chavdar Etropole played?: Septemvri Sofia II vs Chavdar Etropole is played on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion German, in the Third League - Southwest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.