Where and when is Septemvri Simitli vs Oborishte played?

Septemvri Simitli vs Oborishte is played on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Struma, in the Third League - Southwest.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Septemvri Simitli vs Oborishte: prediction and stats

Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 9Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Struma, Simitli

Septemvri Simitli

Oborishte

The Footlab model makes Septemvri Simitli the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Oborishte. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Septemvri Simitli vs Oborishte?

A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Septemvri Simitli (1,489) and Oborishte (1,530).

Septemvri Simitli win48 %

Draw28 %

Oborishte win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Septemvri Simitli have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Oborishte have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Septemvri Simitli
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Chavdar Etropole(away)	2-4	Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026	CSKA Sofia III(home)	0-0	Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026	Balkan Botevgrad(away)	2-1	Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026	Kostinbrod(home)	2-0	Third League - Southwest
May 29, 2026	Kyustendil(home)	2-0	Third League - Southwest

Oborishte
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Pirin Razlog(away)	4-2	Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026	Natsional Sofia(home)	3-1	Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026	Chavdar Etropole(away)	1-1	Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026	CSKA Sofia III(home)	1-1	Third League - Southwest
May 30, 2026	Germaneya(home)	5-1	Third League - Southwest

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Septemvri Simitli win(s), 4 draw(s), 2 Oborishte win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 21, 2026	Oborishte 2-1 Septemvri Simitli	Third League - Southwest
Aug 16, 2025	Septemvri Simitli 1-1 Oborishte	Third League - Southwest
Feb 26, 2025	Oborishte 0-0 Septemvri Simitli	Third League - Southwest
Aug 3, 2024	Septemvri Simitli 0-1 Oborishte	Third League - Southwest
May 1, 2024	Septemvri Simitli 1-1 Oborishte	Third League - Southwest
Oct 14, 2023	Oborishte 2-2 Septemvri Simitli	Third League - Southwest

Last archived meeting: Oborishte vs Septemvri Simitli on Feb 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Septemvri Simitli score 1.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Oborishte score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Septemvri Simitli	1.4	0.9	7	5/15	6/15
Oborishte	1.6	1.1	3	9/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Septemvri Simitli sit 6th in Third League - Southwest (7 points from 4 matches) and Oborishte sit 3rd (8 points from 4 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Oborishte	4	2	2	0	9	5	8
6	Septemvri Simitli	4	2	1	1	6	5	7

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Septemvri Simitli vs Oborishte?: The Footlab model makes Septemvri Simitli the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Oborishte.
Where and when is Septemvri Simitli vs Oborishte played?: Septemvri Simitli vs Oborishte is played on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Struma, in the Third League - Southwest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.