Levski Sofia II vs Natsional Sofia: prediction and stats
Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 9Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Georgi Asparuhov pomoshtno igrishte, Sofia
The Footlab model makes Levski Sofia II the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Natsional Sofia. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Levski Sofia II vs Natsional Sofia?
A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate Levski Sofia II (1,394) and Natsional Sofia (1,463).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Levski Sofia II have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Natsional Sofia have 3, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Slivnishki geroy(away) | 0-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia II(home) | 1-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Belasitsa(away) | 5-4 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Slavia Sofia II(away) | 0-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 29, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia II(home) | 0-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Strumska Slava(home) | 0-3 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Oborishte(away) | 1-3 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bansko(home) | 2-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FK Minyor Pernik(away) | 0-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 18, 2024 | Rilski Sportist(home) | 3-4 | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Levski Sofia II score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Natsional Sofia score 3.4 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Levski Sofia II | 1.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Natsional Sofia | 3.4 | 2.0 | 2 | 5/9 | 8/9 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Levski Sofia II sit 13th in Third League - Southwest (4 points from 4 matches) and Natsional Sofia sit 17th (1 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Levski Sofia II | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 4 |
| 17 | Natsional Sofia | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Levski Sofia II vs Natsional Sofia?
- The Footlab model makes Levski Sofia II the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Natsional Sofia.
- Where and when is Levski Sofia II vs Natsional Sofia played?
- Levski Sofia II vs Natsional Sofia is played on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Georgi Asparuhov pomoshtno igrishte, in the Third League - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 26, 2026Strumska SlavavsBelasitsa
- Sep 26, 2026Botev IhtimanvsFK Minyor Pernik
- Sep 26, 2026KyustendilvsBansko
- Sep 26, 2026Septemvri SimitlivsOborishte
- Sep 26, 2026Slivnishki geroyvsCSKA Sofia III
- Sep 26, 2026KostinbrodvsBalkan Botevgrad
- Sep 26, 2026Septemvri Sofia IIvsChavdar Etropole
- Sep 26, 2026Slavia Sofia IIvsPirin Razlog