Match

Levski Sofia II vs Natsional Sofia: prediction and stats

Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 9Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Georgi Asparuhov pomoshtno igrishte, Sofia

Levski Sofia IINatsional Sofia

The Footlab model makes Levski Sofia II the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Natsional Sofia. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Levski Sofia II vs Natsional Sofia?

A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate Levski Sofia II (1,394) and Natsional Sofia (1,463).

Levski Sofia II win47 %
Draw26 %
Natsional Sofia win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Levski Sofia II have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Natsional Sofia have 3, 1 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Levski Sofia II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Slivnishki geroy(away)0-1Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026Septemvri Sofia II(home)1-1Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026Belasitsa(away)5-4Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026Slavia Sofia II(away)0-1Third League - Southwest
May 29, 2026Septemvri Sofia II(home)0-2Third League - Southwest
Natsional Sofia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Strumska Slava(home)0-3Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026Oborishte(away)1-3Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026Bansko(home)2-2Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026FK Minyor Pernik(away)0-1Third League - Southwest
Sep 18, 2024Rilski Sportist(home)3-4Cup

How many goals should we expect?

Levski Sofia II score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Natsional Sofia score 3.4 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Levski Sofia II1.11.245/154/15
Natsional Sofia3.42.025/98/9

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Levski Sofia II sit 13th in Third League - Southwest (4 points from 4 matches) and Natsional Sofia sit 17th (1 points from 4 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
13Levski Sofia II4112674
17Natsional Sofia4013391

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Levski Sofia II vs Natsional Sofia?
The Footlab model makes Levski Sofia II the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Natsional Sofia.
Where and when is Levski Sofia II vs Natsional Sofia played?
Levski Sofia II vs Natsional Sofia is played on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Georgi Asparuhov pomoshtno igrishte, in the Third League - Southwest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Levski Sofia II and Natsional Sofia

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