Where and when is Strumska Slava vs Belasitsa played?

Strumska Slava vs Belasitsa is played on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Gradski stadion, in the Third League - Southwest.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Strumska Slava vs Belasitsa: prediction and stats

Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 9Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Gradski stadion, Radomir

Strumska Slava

Belasitsa

The Footlab model makes Strumska Slava the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Belasitsa. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Strumska Slava vs Belasitsa?

A very open match: only 80 Elo points separate Strumska Slava (1,563) and Belasitsa (1,483).

Strumska Slava win60 %

Draw22 %

Belasitsa win18 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Strumska Slava have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Belasitsa have 5, 1 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Strumska Slava
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Natsional Sofia(away)	3-0	Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026	Chavdar Etropole(home)	2-1	Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026	CSKA Sofia III(away)	0-0	Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026	Balkan Botevgrad(home)	2-0	Third League - Southwest
May 30, 2026	Pirin Razlog(away)	1-2	Third League - Southwest

Belasitsa
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Septemvri Sofia II(home)	2-1	Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026	FK Minyor Pernik(away)	1-1	Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026	Levski Sofia II(home)	4-5	Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026	Pirin Razlog(away)	3-1	Third League - Southwest
Jul 24, 2026	Belasica(home)	2-0	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Strumska Slava win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Belasitsa win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Dec 4, 2024	Strumska Slava 0-1 Belasitsa	Second League
Jul 21, 2024	Belasitsa 3-0 Strumska Slava	Second League
Apr 13, 2024	Belasitsa 2-0 Strumska Slava	Second League
Sep 27, 2023	Strumska Slava 1-0 Belasitsa	Second League
Apr 22, 2023	Strumska Slava 0-1 Belasitsa	Second League
Sep 17, 2022	Belasitsa 3-0 Strumska Slava	Second League

Last archived meeting: Strumska Slava vs Belasitsa on Dec 4, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Strumska Slava score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Belasitsa score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Strumska Slava	1.6	1.1	4	9/15	10/15
Belasitsa	1.7	1.9	3	10/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Strumska Slava sit 2nd in Third League - Southwest (10 points from 4 matches) and Belasitsa sit 5th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Strumska Slava	4	3	1	0	7	1	10
5	Belasitsa	4	2	1	1	10	8	7

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Strumska Slava vs Belasitsa?: The Footlab model makes Strumska Slava the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Belasitsa.
Where and when is Strumska Slava vs Belasitsa played?: Strumska Slava vs Belasitsa is played on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Gradski stadion, in the Third League - Southwest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.