Eibar III vs Santurtzi: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 7Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Ipurúa, Eibar
The Footlab AI model makes Eibar III the favourite at 61%, against 23% for a draw and 16% for Santurtzi. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Eibar III vs Santurtzi?
On Elo ratings, Eibar III has 1,624 points and Santurtzi 1,608.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Eibar III vs Santurtzi
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Eibar III
Not enough data to predict the Eibar III lineup.
Santurtzi
Not enough data to predict the Santurtzi lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 09:38 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eibar III have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Santurtzi have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | San Ignacio(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Real Sociedad III(home) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Leioa(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Erandio(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sodupe(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | R. Union B(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Pasaia KE(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Lagun Onak(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Derio(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Durango(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Eibar III wins, 1 draw, 2 Santurtzi wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Eibar III 3-1 Santurtzi | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Eibar III 1-1 Santurtzi | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Santurtzi 2-0 Eibar III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Santurtzi 3-0 Eibar III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Eibar III 2-1 Santurtzi | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Eibar III vs Santurtzi on Aug 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Eibar III score 1.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Santurtzi score 0.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eibar III | 1.8 | 1.7 | 2 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Santurtzi | 0.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Eibar III sit 16th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 (5 points from 6 matches) and Santurtzi sit 15th (6 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Santurtzi | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 6 |
| 16 | Eibar III | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 5 |
A question about Eibar III vs Santurtzi?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Eibar III vs Santurtzi?
- The Footlab AI model makes Eibar III the favourite at 61%, against 23% for a draw and 16% for Santurtzi.
- Where and when is Eibar III vs Santurtzi played?
- Eibar III vs Santurtzi is played on October 18, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Ipurúa, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.