Where and when is Spartans vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic played?

Spartans vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic is played on October 13, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Ainslie Park Stadium, in the Challenge Cup.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Spartans vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic: prediction and stats

Challenge CupGroup Stage - 6Kick-off on October 13, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Ainslie Park Stadium, Edinburgh

Spartans

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic

The Footlab model makes Spartans the favourite at 42%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Spartans vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic?

A very open match: only 82 Elo points separate Spartans (1,611) and Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic (1,694).

Spartans win42 %

Draw23 %

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spartans have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic have 9, 3 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Spartans
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Elgin City(home)	3-3	League Two
Aug 15, 2026	Stranraer(away)	0-1	League Two
Aug 11, 2026	East Fife(away)	2-2	Challenge Cup
Aug 8, 2026	Edinburgh City(home)	2-2	League Two
Aug 1, 2026	Annan Athletic(away)	4-2	League Two

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Berwick Rangers(away)	2-0	Football League - Lowland League
Aug 11, 2026	Annan Athletic(home)	1-0	Challenge Cup
Aug 8, 2026	East Stirlingshire(home)	4-1	Football League - Lowland League
Aug 1, 2026	Brechin(home)	1-2	Football League - Lowland League
Jul 28, 2026	Bo'ness United(away)	4-0	Football League - Lowland League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Spartans win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Nov 29, 2025	Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 1-2 Spartans	FA Cup
Apr 26, 2025	Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 2-1 Spartans	League Two
Mar 1, 2025	Spartans 3-1 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic	League Two
Jan 21, 2025	Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 2-2 Spartans	League Two
Aug 10, 2024	Spartans 2-0 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic	League Two
Apr 20, 2024	Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 0-1 Spartans	League Two

Last archived meeting: Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Spartans on Nov 29, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Spartans score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic score 2.4 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Spartans	1.5	1.8	2	10/15	9/15
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic	2.4	1.4	6	9/15	12/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Spartans vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic?: The Footlab model makes Spartans the favourite at 42%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic.
Where and when is Spartans vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic played?: Spartans vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic is played on October 13, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Ainslie Park Stadium, in the Challenge Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.