SC Braga vs Sporting CP: prediction and stats
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 9, 2026 at 07:15 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal de Braga, Braga
The Footlab AI model makes Sporting CP the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for SC Braga. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sporting CP wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SC Braga vs Sporting CP?
Sporting CP starts as the favourite with a 146-point Elo edge (2,482 vs 2,335).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for SC Braga vs Sporting CP
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
SC Braga
3-4-3- 10Pau Victor
- 17J. Milošević
- 21Ricardo Horta
- 8João Moutinho
- 2Víctor Gómez
- 77Gabri Martínez
- 34E. Tıknaz
- 6Vitor Carvalho
- 14G. Lagerbielke
- 37A. Barišić
- 31Bernardo Fontes
Sporting CP
4-2-3-1- 97L. Suárez
- 10Geny Catamo
- 5Sergi Altimira
- 77I. Doumbia
- 17R. Zalazar
- 58Flávio Gonçalves
- 20M. Araújo
- 25Gonçalo Inácio
- 22Iván Fresneda
- 13G. Vagiannidis
- 1Rui Silva
Known absences
Z. DebastOut · Injured
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 08:27 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SC Braga have 7 wins, 7 draws and 1 defeat; Sporting CP have 11, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Santa Clara(away) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Estoril(home) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Estrela(away) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Alverca(away) | 2-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Guimaraes(home) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Arouca(home) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Famalicao(away) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Galatasaray(home) | 3-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Nacional(home) | 2-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Rio Ave(away) | 4-0 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 SC Braga win, 3 draws, 2 Sporting CP wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | SC Braga 2-2 Sporting CP | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Sporting CP 1-1 SC Braga | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 7, 2025 | Sporting CP 1-1 SC Braga | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 10, 2024 | SC Braga 2-4 Sporting CP | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 11, 2024 | Sporting CP 5-0 SC Braga | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 23, 2024 | SC Braga 1-0 Sporting CP | Taça da Liga |
Last archived meeting: SC Braga vs Sporting CP on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SC Braga score 1.4 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Sporting CP score 3.0 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SC Braga | 1.4 | 0.7 | 9 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Sporting CP | 3.0 | 0.9 | 5 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SC Braga sit 6th in Primeira Liga (11 points from 6 matches) and Sporting CP sit 3rd (15 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Sporting CP | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 8 | 15 |
| 6 | SC Braga | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 11 |
A question about SC Braga vs Sporting CP?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SC Braga vs Sporting CP?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sporting CP the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for SC Braga.
- Where and when is SC Braga vs Sporting CP played?
- SC Braga vs Sporting CP is played on October 9, 2026 at 07:15 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal de Braga, in the Primeira Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.