Sportivo Barracas vs Deportivo Español: prediction and stats
Primera CRegular Season - 26Kick-off on August 31, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano, Morón, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model calls this one tight: 33% for Sportivo Barracas, 36% for a draw, 31% for Deportivo Español. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sportivo Barracas vs Deportivo Español?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Sportivo Barracas (1,615) and Deportivo Español (1,646).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sportivo Barracas have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Deportivo Español have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Central Ballester(away) | 0-0 | Primera C |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Central Cordoba(away) | 1-2 | Primera C |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Deportivo Paraguayo(away) | 1-0 | Primera C |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Claypole(home) | 2-0 | Primera C |
| Jul 28, 2026 | El Porvenir(home) | 3-2 | Primera C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Lujan(home) | 0-0 | Primera C |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Sacachispas(home) | 0-0 | Primera C |
| Aug 7, 2026 | General Lamadrid(away) | 0-0 | Primera C |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Leones de Rosario(home) | 0-0 | Primera C |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Atletico Atlas(away) | 1-0 | Primera C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Sportivo Barracas win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Deportivo Español win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2026 | Deportivo Español 0-0 Sportivo Barracas | Primera C |
| Nov 4, 2024 | Deportivo Español 5-1 Sportivo Barracas | Primera C |
| Jun 3, 2024 | Sportivo Barracas 1-1 Deportivo Español | Primera C |
Last archived meeting: Deportivo Español vs Sportivo Barracas on May 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sportivo Barracas score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Deportivo Español score 0.5 and concede 0.3. The model gives a 24% probability of over 2.5 goals and 33% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportivo Barracas | 1.3 | 1.1 | 8 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Deportivo Español | 0.5 | 0.3 | 11 | 2/15 | 1/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sportivo Barracas sit 7th in Primera C (34 points from 24 matches) and Deportivo Español sit 5th (35 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Deportivo Español | 25 | 7 | 14 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 35 |
| 7 | Sportivo Barracas | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 29 | 25 | 34 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sportivo Barracas vs Deportivo Español?
- The Footlab model calls this one tight: 33% for Sportivo Barracas, 36% for a draw, 31% for Deportivo Español.
- Where and when is Sportivo Barracas vs Deportivo Español played?
- Sportivo Barracas vs Deportivo Español is played on August 31, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano, in the Primera C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 24% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 29, 2026LujanvsDeportivo Muñiz
- Aug 29, 2026El PorvenirvsClaypole
- Aug 29, 2026Defensores de CambaceresvsDeportivo Paraguayo
- Aug 29, 2026Estrella Del SurvsVictoriano Arenas
- Aug 29, 2026Leones de RosariovsAtletico Atlas
- Aug 29, 2026FénixvsCentral Cordoba
- Aug 30, 2026Juventud UnidavsMercedes
- Aug 30, 2026Leandro N. AlemvsPuerto Nuevo