Sportivo Italiano vs Brown DE Adrogue: prediction and stats
Primera B MetropolitanaRegular Season - 36Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio República de Italia, La Matanza, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Sportivo Italiano the favourite at 51%, against 31% for a draw and 18% for Brown DE Adrogue. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sportivo Italiano vs Brown DE Adrogue?
A very open match: only 99 Elo points separate Sportivo Italiano (1,715) and Brown DE Adrogue (1,615).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sportivo Italiano have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Brown DE Adrogue have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Defensores Unidos(home) | 0-2 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Comunicaciones(away) | 0-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dock Sud(home) | 4-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Deportivo Merlo(away) | 4-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Deportivo Camioneros(home) | 1-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Real Pilar(away) | 0-2 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 21, 2026 | UAI Urquiza(home) | 1-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Villa Dalmine(away) | 0-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Excursionistas(home) | 1-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Arsenal Sarandi(away) | 1-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Sportivo Italiano win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Brown DE Adrogue win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Brown DE Adrogue 0-0 Sportivo Italiano | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Jul 19, 2025 | Sportivo Italiano 4-0 Brown DE Adrogue | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Apr 23, 2025 | Brown DE Adrogue 0-0 Sportivo Italiano | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Jul 8, 2015 | Sportivo Italiano 0-2 Brown DE Adrogue | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Feb 22, 2015 | Brown DE Adrogue 2-0 Sportivo Italiano | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Jan 31, 2012 | Sportivo Italiano 0-0 Brown DE Adrogue | Primera B Metropolitana |
Last archived meeting: Brown DE Adrogue vs Sportivo Italiano on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sportivo Italiano score 1.2 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Brown DE Adrogue score 0.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 29% probability of over 2.5 goals and 34% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportivo Italiano | 1.2 | 0.8 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Brown DE Adrogue | 0.7 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sportivo Italiano sit 6th in Primera B Metropolitana (33 points from 20 matches) and Brown DE Adrogue sit 20th (19 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Sportivo Italiano | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 33 |
| 6 | Sportivo Italiano | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 52 |
| 20 | Brown DE Adrogue | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 23 | 19 |
| 20 | Brown DE Adrogue | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 20 | 34 | 32 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sportivo Italiano vs Brown DE Adrogue?
- The Footlab model makes Sportivo Italiano the favourite at 51%, against 31% for a draw and 18% for Brown DE Adrogue.
- Where and when is Sportivo Italiano vs Brown DE Adrogue played?
- Sportivo Italiano vs Brown DE Adrogue is played on September 19, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio República de Italia, in the Primera B Metropolitana.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 29% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 19, 2026Villa DalminevsItuzaingó
- Sep 19, 2026UAI UrquizavsExcursionistas
- Sep 19, 2026Real PilarvsArsenal Sarandi
- Sep 19, 2026Dock SudvsArgentino Quilmes
- Sep 19, 2026Deportivo CamionerosvsDeportivo Armenio
- Sep 19, 2026ComunicacionesvsDefensores Unidos
- Sep 19, 2026Villa San CarlosvsTalleres Remedios
- Sep 19, 2026Deportivo MerlovsFlandria