Match

SV Darmstadt 98 vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 16Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Merck-Stadion am Böllenfalltor, Darmstadt

SV Darmstadt 98SpVgg Greuther Fürth

The Footlab model makes SV Darmstadt 98 the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for SpVgg Greuther Fürth. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SV Darmstadt 98 vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?

SV Darmstadt 98 starts as the favourite with a 128-point Elo edge (2,005 vs 1,877).

SV Darmstadt 98 win58 %
Draw22 %
SpVgg Greuther Fürth win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SV Darmstadt 98 have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; SpVgg Greuther Fürth have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SV Darmstadt 98
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026FC Carl Zeiss Jena(away)2-1DFB Pokal
Aug 16, 2026Dynamo Dresden(away)0-12. Bundesliga
Aug 8, 2026Holstein Kiel(home)2-22. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026Portsmouth(home)0-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(away)7-2Friendlies Clubs
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026VfL Bochum(home)1-2DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 20261. FC Nürnberg(home)2-42. Bundesliga
Aug 9, 2026FC St. Pauli(away)1-12. Bundesliga
Jul 18, 2026FC Zurich(away)3-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 11, 2026Eintracht Bamberg(home)1-3Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 SV Darmstadt 98 win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 SpVgg Greuther Fürth win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 19, 2026SpVgg Greuther Fürth 3-2 SV Darmstadt 982. Bundesliga
Nov 22, 2025SV Darmstadt 98 4-2 SpVgg Greuther Fürth2. Bundesliga
Apr 5, 2025SV Darmstadt 98 1-0 SpVgg Greuther Fürth2. Bundesliga
Nov 2, 2024SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1-5 SV Darmstadt 982. Bundesliga
May 28, 2023SpVgg Greuther Fürth 4-0 SV Darmstadt 982. Bundesliga
Nov 13, 2022SV Darmstadt 98 1-1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs SV Darmstadt 98 on Apr 19, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

SV Darmstadt 98 score 2.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; SpVgg Greuther Fürth score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
SV Darmstadt 982.11.7111/1510/15
SpVgg Greuther Fürth1.31.739/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

SV Darmstadt 98 sit 15th in 2. Bundesliga (1 points from 2 matches) and SpVgg Greuther Fürth sit 16th (1 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
15SV Darmstadt 982011231
16SpVgg Greuther Fürth2011351

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SV Darmstadt 98 vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
The Footlab model makes SV Darmstadt 98 the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for SpVgg Greuther Fürth.
Where and when is SV Darmstadt 98 vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth played?
SV Darmstadt 98 vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth is played on December 19, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Merck-Stadion am Böllenfalltor, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: SV Darmstadt 98 and SpVgg Greuther Fürth

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