SV Darmstadt 98 vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth: prediction and stats
2. BundesligaRegular Season - 16Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Merck-Stadion am Böllenfalltor, Darmstadt
The Footlab model makes SV Darmstadt 98 the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for SpVgg Greuther Fürth. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SV Darmstadt 98 vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
SV Darmstadt 98 starts as the favourite with a 128-point Elo edge (2,005 vs 1,877).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SV Darmstadt 98 have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; SpVgg Greuther Fürth have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena(away) | 2-1 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Dynamo Dresden(away) | 0-1 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Holstein Kiel(home) | 2-2 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Portsmouth(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(away) | 7-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | VfL Bochum(home) | 1-2 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | 1. FC Nürnberg(home) | 2-4 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC St. Pauli(away) | 1-1 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Jul 18, 2026 | FC Zurich(away) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Eintracht Bamberg(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 SV Darmstadt 98 win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 SpVgg Greuther Fürth win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 3-2 SV Darmstadt 98 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Nov 22, 2025 | SV Darmstadt 98 4-2 SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 2. Bundesliga |
| Apr 5, 2025 | SV Darmstadt 98 1-0 SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 2. Bundesliga |
| Nov 2, 2024 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1-5 SV Darmstadt 98 | 2. Bundesliga |
| May 28, 2023 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 4-0 SV Darmstadt 98 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Nov 13, 2022 | SV Darmstadt 98 1-1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 2. Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs SV Darmstadt 98 on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SV Darmstadt 98 score 2.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; SpVgg Greuther Fürth score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SV Darmstadt 98 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SV Darmstadt 98 sit 15th in 2. Bundesliga (1 points from 2 matches) and SpVgg Greuther Fürth sit 16th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 16 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SV Darmstadt 98 vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
- The Footlab model makes SV Darmstadt 98 the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for SpVgg Greuther Fürth.
- Where and when is SV Darmstadt 98 vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth played?
- SV Darmstadt 98 vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth is played on December 19, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Merck-Stadion am Böllenfalltor, in the 2. Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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