Where and when is VfL Wolfsburg vs Arminia Bielefeld played?

VfL Wolfsburg vs Arminia Bielefeld is played on December 19, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Volkswagen Arena, in the 2. Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

VfL Wolfsburg vs Arminia Bielefeld: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 16Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Volkswagen Arena, Wolfsburg

VfL Wolfsburg

Arminia Bielefeld

The Footlab model makes VfL Wolfsburg the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Arminia Bielefeld. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win VfL Wolfsburg vs Arminia Bielefeld?

A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate VfL Wolfsburg (2,034) and Arminia Bielefeld (2,019).

VfL Wolfsburg win45 %

Draw25 %

Arminia Bielefeld win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VfL Wolfsburg have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Arminia Bielefeld have 8, 4 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

VfL Wolfsburg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 16, 2026	Hannover 96(away)	1-0	2. Bundesliga
Aug 8, 2026	1. FC Kaiserslautern(home)	0-0	2. Bundesliga
Jul 31, 2026	Telstar(home)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 24, 2026	Lyon(home)	0-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026	Verl(home)	3-0	Friendlies Clubs

Arminia Bielefeld
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(away)	2-2	DFB Pokal
Aug 16, 2026	Energie Cottbus(home)	3-0	2. Bundesliga
Aug 8, 2026	Karlsruher SC(away)	1-2	2. Bundesliga
Jul 25, 2026	MSV Duisburg(home)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026	Bologna(away)	4-0	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 4 VfL Wolfsburg win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Arminia Bielefeld win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 9, 2022	VfL Wolfsburg 4-0 Arminia Bielefeld	Bundesliga
Nov 20, 2021	Arminia Bielefeld 2-2 VfL Wolfsburg	Bundesliga
Feb 19, 2021	Arminia Bielefeld 0-3 VfL Wolfsburg	Bundesliga
Oct 25, 2020	VfL Wolfsburg 2-1 Arminia Bielefeld	Bundesliga
Apr 29, 2015	Arminia Bielefeld 0-4 VfL Wolfsburg	DFB Pokal

Last archived meeting: VfL Wolfsburg vs Arminia Bielefeld on Apr 9, 2022

How many goals should we expect?

VfL Wolfsburg score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Arminia Bielefeld score 2.6 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
VfL Wolfsburg	1.7	1.3	5	8/15	8/15
Arminia Bielefeld	2.6	1.4	3	11/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

VfL Wolfsburg sit 4th in 2. Bundesliga (4 points from 2 matches) and Arminia Bielefeld sit 6th (3 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	VfL Wolfsburg	2	1	1	0	1	0	4
6	Arminia Bielefeld	2	1	0	1	4	2	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for VfL Wolfsburg vs Arminia Bielefeld?: The Footlab model makes VfL Wolfsburg the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Arminia Bielefeld.
Where and when is VfL Wolfsburg vs Arminia Bielefeld played?: VfL Wolfsburg vs Arminia Bielefeld is played on December 19, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Volkswagen Arena, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.