Match

VfL Wolfsburg vs Arminia Bielefeld: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 16Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Volkswagen Arena, Wolfsburg

VfL WolfsburgArminia Bielefeld

The Footlab AI model makes VfL Wolfsburg the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Arminia Bielefeld. The most likely score is 1-1. If VfL Wolfsburg wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,623 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win VfL Wolfsburg vs Arminia Bielefeld?

A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate VfL Wolfsburg (2,064) and Arminia Bielefeld (2,012).

47%25%28%
VfL Wolfsburg winDrawArminia Bielefeld win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for VfL Wolfsburg vs Arminia Bielefeld

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

VfL Wolfsburg

4-3-3
  1. 11F. Reese
  2. 17A. Bernhardsson
  3. 19R. Glatzel
  1. 5Vinicius Souza
  2. 20M. Damar
  3. 31Y. Gerhardt
  1. 6H. Wahl
  2. 21J. Mæhle
  3. 33Cleiton
  4. 26S. Kumbedi
  1. 30J. Zieliński

Arminia Bielefeld

5-4-1
  1. 11J. Grodowski
  1. 21S. Russo
  2. 38M. Wörl
  3. 31L. Jensen
  4. 14M. Momuluh
  1. 5M. Bauer
  2. 19M. Großer
  3. 17A. Sicker
  4. 3J. Felix
  5. 2F. Hagmann
  1. 1J. Kersken

Computed on October 18, 2026 at 03:58 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VfL Wolfsburg have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Arminia Bielefeld have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

VfL Wolfsburg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 20261. FC Heidenheim(home)3-12. Bundesliga
Oct 10, 20261. FC Nürnberg(away)4-42. Bundesliga
Oct 1, 2026Havelse(home)4-1Friendlies Clubs
Sep 18, 2026SV Darmstadt 98(home)5-12. Bundesliga
Sep 12, 2026FC St. Pauli(away)0-12. Bundesliga
Arminia Bielefeld
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026VfL Bochum(away)1-02. Bundesliga
Oct 3, 2026Rot-Weiß Essen(home)2-2Friendlies Clubs
Sep 20, 20261. FC Heidenheim(home)2-22. Bundesliga
Sep 11, 2026SV Darmstadt 98(away)1-22. Bundesliga
Sep 4, 2026FC St. Pauli(home)2-22. Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 4 VfL Wolfsburg wins, 1 draw, 0 Arminia Bielefeld wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 9, 2022VfL Wolfsburg 4-0 Arminia BielefeldBundesliga
Nov 20, 2021Arminia Bielefeld 2-2 VfL WolfsburgBundesliga
Feb 19, 2021Arminia Bielefeld 0-3 VfL WolfsburgBundesliga
Oct 25, 2020VfL Wolfsburg 2-1 Arminia BielefeldBundesliga
Apr 29, 2015Arminia Bielefeld 0-4 VfL WolfsburgDFB Pokal

Last archived meeting: VfL Wolfsburg vs Arminia Bielefeld on Apr 9, 2022

How many goals should we expect?

VfL Wolfsburg score 2.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Arminia Bielefeld score 2.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
VfL Wolfsburg2.91.6310/1511/15
Arminia Bielefeld2.41.5410/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

VfL Wolfsburg sit 3rd in 2. Bundesliga (15 points from 8 matches) and Arminia Bielefeld sit 10th (8 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3VfL Wolfsburg8431221315
10Arminia Bielefeld722311128

A question about VfL Wolfsburg vs Arminia Bielefeld?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for VfL Wolfsburg vs Arminia Bielefeld?
The Footlab AI model makes VfL Wolfsburg the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Arminia Bielefeld.
Where and when is VfL Wolfsburg vs Arminia Bielefeld played?
VfL Wolfsburg vs Arminia Bielefeld is played on December 19, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Volkswagen Arena, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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