Where and when is Stanway Rovers vs Aveley played?

Stanway Rovers vs Aveley is played on August 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Hawthorns, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Stanway Rovers vs Aveley: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 6Kick-off on August 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Hawthorns, Colchester, Essex

Stanway Rovers

Aveley

The Footlab model makes Aveley the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Stanway Rovers. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Stanway Rovers vs Aveley?

Aveley starts as the favourite with a 156-point Elo edge (1,878 vs 1,723).

Stanway Rovers win27 %

Draw24 %

Aveley win49 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stanway Rovers have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Aveley have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Stanway Rovers
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Carshalton Athletic(home)	1-2	Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 15, 2026	Welling United(away)	0-4	Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 11, 2026	Ramsgate(home)	1-3	Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 8, 2026	Cheshunt(away)	0-0	Non League Premier - Isthmian
Apr 25, 2026	Heybridge Swifts(away)	5-0	Non League Div One - Isthmian North

Aveley
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Three Bridges(away)	5-1	Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 15, 2026	Whitehawk(home)	3-2	Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 11, 2026	Maldon & Tiptree(away)	0-1	Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 8, 2026	Eastbourne Borough(home)	2-2	Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 1, 2026	Southend(away)	0-4	Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

Stanway Rovers score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Aveley score 2.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Stanway Rovers	1.5	1.5	6	7/15	9/15
Aveley	2.4	1.7	3	10/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Stanway Rovers sit 21st in Non League Premier - Isthmian (1 points from 4 matches) and Aveley sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Aveley	4	2	1	1	10	6	7
21	Stanway Rovers	4	0	1	3	2	9	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Stanway Rovers vs Aveley?: The Footlab model makes Aveley the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Stanway Rovers.
Where and when is Stanway Rovers vs Aveley played?: Stanway Rovers vs Aveley is played on August 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Hawthorns, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.