Staphorst vs UNA: prediction and stats
KNVB Beker1st Preliminary RoundKick-off on September 1, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark Het Noorderslag, Staphorst
The Footlab model makes Staphorst the favourite at 46%, against 22% for a draw and 32% for UNA. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Staphorst vs UNA?
A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Staphorst (1,720) and UNA (1,671).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Staphorst have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; UNA have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Excelsior '31(home) | 2-4 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dovo(away) | 2-2 | Derde Divisie |
| May 23, 2026 | ROHDA Raalte(home) | 2-1 | Derde Divisie |
| May 16, 2026 | Excelsior '31(away) | 1-3 | Derde Divisie |
| May 9, 2026 | Hsc 21(home) | 4-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Zwaluwen(away) | 1-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 16, 2026 | TOGB(home) | 1-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Jun 30, 2026 | FC Eindhoven(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Meerssen(home) | 1-2 | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| May 16, 2026 | UDI '19(away) | 3-1 | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Staphorst win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 UNA win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2017 | UNA 1-2 Staphorst | KNVB Beker |
How many goals should we expect?
Staphorst score 1.5 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; UNA score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Staphorst | 1.5 | 2.1 | 1 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| UNA | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Staphorst vs UNA?
- The Footlab model makes Staphorst the favourite at 46%, against 22% for a draw and 32% for UNA.
- Where and when is Staphorst vs UNA played?
- Staphorst vs UNA is played on September 1, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Het Noorderslag, in the KNVB Beker.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.