Vvsb vs Ajax Amateurs: prediction and stats
KNVB Beker1st Preliminary RoundKick-off on September 1, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark De Boekhorst, Noordwijkerhout
The Footlab model makes Vvsb the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 22% for Ajax Amateurs. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vvsb vs Ajax Amateurs?
Vvsb starts as the favourite with a 159-point Elo edge (1,799 vs 1,640).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vvsb have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Ajax Amateurs have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | UDI '19(home) | 0-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Poortugaal(away) | 1-0 | Derde Divisie |
| May 30, 2026 | Excelsior Maassluis(away) | 0-3 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 27, 2026 | Excelsior Maassluis(home) | 1-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 23, 2026 | Rijnvogels(away) | 3-0 | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 4, 2025 | Kampong(home) | 0-1 | Derde Divisie - Relegation Round |
| May 31, 2025 | Kampong(away) | 2-4 | Derde Divisie - Relegation Round |
| May 24, 2025 | SC Genemuiden(away) | 0-1 | Derde Divisie |
| May 17, 2025 | Sportlust '46(home) | 1-4 | Derde Divisie |
| May 10, 2025 | Sparta Nijkerk(away) | 1-1 | Derde Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Vvsb win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Ajax Amateurs win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2022 | Vvsb 2-0 Ajax Amateurs | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 2, 2021 | Ajax Amateurs 3-1 Vvsb | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 21, 2021 | Ajax Amateurs 4-1 Vvsb | KNVB Beker |
| Oct 10, 2020 | Ajax Amateurs 2-3 Vvsb | Derde Divisie |
| Feb 1, 2020 | Vvsb 2-3 Ajax Amateurs | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 5, 2019 | Ajax Amateurs 2-2 Vvsb | Derde Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Vvsb vs Ajax Amateurs on Apr 23, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Vvsb score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ajax Amateurs score 1.1 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vvsb | 1.6 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Ajax Amateurs | 1.1 | 1.8 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vvsb vs Ajax Amateurs?
- The Footlab model makes Vvsb the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 22% for Ajax Amateurs.
- Where and when is Vvsb vs Ajax Amateurs played?
- Vvsb vs Ajax Amateurs is played on September 1, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark De Boekhorst, in the KNVB Beker.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.