Where and when is Podlasie Biała Podlaska vs Korona Kielce II played?

Podlasie Biała Podlaska vs Korona Kielce II is played on May 1, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion MOSiR, in the III Liga - Group 4.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Podlasie Biała Podlaska vs Korona Kielce II: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 29Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion MOSiR, Biała Podlaska

Podlasie Biała Podlaska

Korona Kielce II

The Footlab model makes Podlasie Biała Podlaska the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Korona Kielce II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Podlasie Biała Podlaska vs Korona Kielce II?

A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Podlasie Biała Podlaska (1,795) and Korona Kielce II (1,776).

Podlasie Biała Podlaska win47 %

Draw23 %

Korona Kielce II win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Podlasie Biała Podlaska have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Korona Kielce II have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Podlasie Biała Podlaska
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Jarosław(away)	0-2	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026	Busko-Zdroj(home)	2-1	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 15, 2026	Czarni Połaniec(away)	2-0	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 7, 2026	Hetman Zamosc(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 2, 2026	KSZO 1929(away)	0-1	III Liga - Group 4

Korona Kielce II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Czarni Połaniec(home)	3-4	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026	Hetman Zamosc(home)	2-2	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 14, 2026	KSZO 1929(away)	2-3	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 8, 2026	Wisła Kraków II(home)	1-2	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 1, 2026	Naprzód(away)	4-5	III Liga - Group 4

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Podlasie Biała Podlaska win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Korona Kielce II win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Nov 29, 2025	Podlasie Biała Podlaska 1-1 Korona Kielce II	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 9, 2025	Korona Kielce II 2-2 Podlasie Biała Podlaska	III Liga - Group 4
Mar 8, 2025	Korona Kielce II 0-3 Podlasie Biała Podlaska	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 17, 2024	Podlasie Biała Podlaska 3-0 Korona Kielce II	III Liga - Group 4
Mar 25, 2023	Korona Kielce II 1-2 Podlasie Biała Podlaska	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 20, 2022	Podlasie Biała Podlaska 1-1 Korona Kielce II	III Liga - Group 4

Last archived meeting: Podlasie Biała Podlaska vs Korona Kielce II on Nov 29, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Podlasie Biała Podlaska score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Korona Kielce II score 2.2 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Podlasie Biała Podlaska	1.9	1.1	4	9/15	7/15
Korona Kielce II	2.2	2.3	2	13/15	13/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Podlasie Biała Podlaska sit 8th in III Liga - Group 4 (7 points from 5 matches) and Korona Kielce II sit 17th (1 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
8	Podlasie Biała Podlaska	5	2	1	2	5	5	7
17	Korona Kielce II	5	0	1	4	12	16	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Podlasie Biała Podlaska vs Korona Kielce II?: The Footlab model makes Podlasie Biała Podlaska the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Korona Kielce II.
Where and when is Podlasie Biała Podlaska vs Korona Kielce II played?: Podlasie Biała Podlaska vs Korona Kielce II is played on May 1, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion MOSiR, in the III Liga - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.