Where and when is Elana Toruń vs Luzino played?

Elana Toruń vs Luzino is played on October 3, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski im. Grzegorza Duneckiego, in the III Liga - Group 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Elana Toruń vs Luzino: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 11Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski im. Grzegorza Duneckiego, Toruń

Elana Toruń

Luzino

The Footlab model makes Luzino the favourite at 73%, against 16% for a draw and 12% for Elana Toruń. The most likely score is 1-2.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Elana Toruń vs Luzino?

Luzino starts as the favourite with a 199-point Elo edge (1,893 vs 1,694).

Elana Toruń win12 %

Draw16 %

Luzino win73 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Elana Toruń have 1 wins, 4 draws and 10 defeats; Luzino have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Elana Toruń
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Noteć Czarnków(away)	1-3	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Unia Swarzędz(home)	2-3	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026	Grom Nowy Staw(away)	2-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026	Gedania Gdansk(home)	2-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026	Lipno Stęszew(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 2

Luzino
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Stargard Szczeciński(away)	1-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Chemik Bydgoszcz(home)	3-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 14, 2026	Victoria Września(away)	3-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 9, 2026	Bałtyk Koszalin(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026	Kotwica Kórnik(away)	6-2	III Liga - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Elana Toruń win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Luzino win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 19, 2026	Luzino 2-1 Elana Toruń	III Liga - Group 2
Sep 28, 2025	Elana Toruń 2-1 Luzino	III Liga - Group 2
Apr 13, 2024	Elana Toruń 3-0 Luzino	III Liga - Group 2
Sep 16, 2023	Luzino 1-2 Elana Toruń	III Liga - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Luzino vs Elana Toruń on Apr 19, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Elana Toruń score 1.0 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Luzino score 2.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Elana Toruń	1.0	2.5	0	10/15	11/15
Luzino	2.3	1.3	3	10/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Elana Toruń sit 12th in III Liga - Group 2 (5 points from 5 matches) and Luzino sit 4th (10 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Luzino	5	3	1	1	14	7	10
12	Elana Toruń	5	1	2	2	8	10	5

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Elana Toruń vs Luzino?: The Footlab model makes Luzino the favourite at 73%, against 16% for a draw and 12% for Elana Toruń.
Where and when is Elana Toruń vs Luzino played?: Elana Toruń vs Luzino is played on October 3, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski im. Grzegorza Duneckiego, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.