Where and when is Grom Nowy Staw vs Bałtyk Koszalin played?

Grom Nowy Staw vs Bałtyk Koszalin is played on October 3, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski OSiR Nowy Staw, in the III Liga - Group 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Grom Nowy Staw vs Bałtyk Koszalin: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 11Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski OSiR Nowy Staw, Nowy Staw

Grom Nowy Staw

Bałtyk Koszalin

The Footlab model makes Grom Nowy Staw the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Bałtyk Koszalin. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Grom Nowy Staw vs Bałtyk Koszalin?

A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate Grom Nowy Staw (1,695) and Bałtyk Koszalin (1,653).

Grom Nowy Staw win42 %

Draw24 %

Bałtyk Koszalin win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 8 matches in all competitions, Grom Nowy Staw have 2 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Bałtyk Koszalin have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Grom Nowy Staw
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Kluczevia Stargard(home)	3-4	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Wda Świecie(away)	2-4	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026	Elana Toruń(home)	1-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026	Noteć Czarnków(away)	2-0	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026	Unia Swarzędz(home)	2-3	III Liga - Group 2

Bałtyk Koszalin
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Kalisz(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Kotwica Kórnik(away)	1-0	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026	Flota Świnoujście(home)	1-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 9, 2026	Luzino(away)	1-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026	Polonia Środa(home)	0-3	III Liga - Group 2

How many goals should we expect?

Grom Nowy Staw score 2.0 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 8; Bałtyk Koszalin score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Grom Nowy Staw	2.0	2.0	2	5/8	5/8
Bałtyk Koszalin	1.1	1.7	2	9/15	8/15

Over the last 8 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Grom Nowy Staw sit 14th in III Liga - Group 2 (3 points from 5 matches) and Bałtyk Koszalin sit 13th (5 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
13	Bałtyk Koszalin	5	1	2	2	4	7	5
14	Grom Nowy Staw	5	1	0	4	10	13	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Grom Nowy Staw vs Bałtyk Koszalin?: The Footlab model makes Grom Nowy Staw the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Bałtyk Koszalin.
Where and when is Grom Nowy Staw vs Bałtyk Koszalin played?: Grom Nowy Staw vs Bałtyk Koszalin is played on October 3, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski OSiR Nowy Staw, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.