Where and when is Unia Swarzędz vs Kotwica Kórnik played?

Unia Swarzędz vs Kotwica Kórnik is played on October 3, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Unia Swarzędz vs Kotwica Kórnik: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 11Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Swarzędz

Unia Swarzędz

Kotwica Kórnik

The Footlab model makes Unia Swarzędz the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Kotwica Kórnik. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Unia Swarzędz vs Kotwica Kórnik?

Unia Swarzędz starts as the favourite with a 129-point Elo edge (1,763 vs 1,634).

Unia Swarzędz win56 %

Draw23 %

Kotwica Kórnik win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Unia Swarzędz have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Kotwica Kórnik have 2, 4 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Unia Swarzędz
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Wda Świecie(home)	0-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Elana Toruń(away)	3-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 14, 2026	Noteć Czarnków(home)	0-3	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 9, 2026	Kalisz(away)	0-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026	Grom Nowy Staw(away)	3-2	III Liga - Group 2

Kotwica Kórnik
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Victoria Września(away)	0-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Bałtyk Koszalin(home)	0-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026	Kalisz(home)	2-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026	Flota Świnoujście(away)	0-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026	Luzino(home)	2-6	III Liga - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Unia Swarzędz win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Kotwica Kórnik win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jul 25, 2026	Kotwica Kórnik 1-2 Unia Swarzędz	Friendlies Clubs
May 16, 2025	Kotwica Kórnik 3-3 Unia Swarzędz	III Liga - Group 2
Feb 8, 2025	Kotwica Kórnik 2-2 Unia Swarzędz	Friendlies Clubs
Oct 18, 2024	Unia Swarzędz 1-1 Kotwica Kórnik	III Liga - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Kotwica Kórnik vs Unia Swarzędz on Jul 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Unia Swarzędz score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Kotwica Kórnik score 1.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Unia Swarzędz	1.9	1.7	4	8/15	11/15
Kotwica Kórnik	1.1	2.1	1	9/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Unia Swarzędz sit 11th in III Liga - Group 2 (6 points from 5 matches) and Kotwica Kórnik sit 18th (1 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
11	Unia Swarzędz	5	2	0	3	6	9	6
18	Kotwica Kórnik	5	0	1	4	4	12	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Unia Swarzędz vs Kotwica Kórnik?: The Footlab model makes Unia Swarzędz the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Kotwica Kórnik.
Where and when is Unia Swarzędz vs Kotwica Kórnik played?: Unia Swarzędz vs Kotwica Kórnik is played on October 3, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.