Stevenage vs Reading: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 21Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Lamex Stadium, Stevenage, Hertfordshire
The Footlab AI model makes Reading the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Stevenage. The most likely score is 1-1. If Reading wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stevenage vs Reading?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Stevenage (1,900) and Reading (1,917).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Stevenage vs Reading
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Stevenage
3-4-1-2- 9J. Magennis
- 18O. Sanderson
- 8D. Phillips
- 10D. Kemp
- 14S. Earley
- 24M. Smith
- 25Wanya Marçal
- 5C. Piergianni
- 2L. James-Wildin
- 15T. Vancooten
- 1T. Setford
Reading
4-2-3-1- 18J. Brown
- 32P. Lane
- 10L. Wing
- 19Kyreece Lisbie
- 4A. Rinomhota
- 28J. Stokes
- 15P. O'Connor
- 5H. Roberts
- 16Benn David Ward
- 2U. Godwin-Malife
- 1Joel Pereira
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 08:16 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stevenage have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Reading have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Wigan(home) | 1-0 | League One |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Leicester(home) | 2-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Walsall(away) | 6-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Leyton Orient(away) | 0-1 | League One |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Luton(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Chelsea U21(home) | 0-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Milton Keynes Dons(away) | 5-1 | League One |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Bradford(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Wycombe(away) | 2-2 | League One |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Notts County(home) | 2-0 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Stevenage win, 2 draws, 3 Reading wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Stevenage 0-3 Reading | League Cup |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Stevenage 1-0 Reading | League One |
| Nov 6, 2025 | Reading 1-0 Stevenage | League One |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Reading 1-1 Stevenage | League One |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Stevenage 1-1 Reading | League One |
| Feb 6, 2024 | Stevenage 0-1 Reading | League One |
How many goals should we expect?
Stevenage score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Reading score 2.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stevenage | 1.6 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Reading | 2.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stevenage sit 9th in League One (12 points from 8 matches) and Reading sit 6th (15 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Reading | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 11 | 15 |
| 9 | Stevenage | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 12 |
A question about Stevenage vs Reading?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stevenage vs Reading?
- The Footlab AI model makes Reading the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Stevenage.
- Where and when is Stevenage vs Reading played?
- Stevenage vs Reading is played on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Lamex Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.