Where and when is Carina Gubin vs Stilon Gorzów played?

Carina Gubin vs Stilon Gorzów is played on September 26, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski Gubin, in the III Liga - Group 3.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Carina Gubin vs Stilon Gorzów: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 3Group III - 10Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski Gubin, Gubin

Carina Gubin

Stilon Gorzów

The Footlab model makes Stilon Gorzów the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Carina Gubin. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Carina Gubin vs Stilon Gorzów?

A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Carina Gubin (1,715) and Stilon Gorzów (1,722).

Carina Gubin win32 %

Draw26 %

Stilon Gorzów win42 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Carina Gubin have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Stilon Gorzów have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Carina Gubin
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Zaglebie Sosnowiec(home)	0-4	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026	ROW Rybnik(away)	0-4	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 14, 2026	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 8, 2026	Warta Gorzów(away)	1-2	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 1, 2026	Miedź Legnica II(home)	2-1	III Liga - Group 3

Stilon Gorzów
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Kluczbork(home)	0-1	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026	Rakow II(away)	4-1	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 15, 2026	Polonia Nysa(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 8, 2026	Sparta Katowice(away)	1-2	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 1, 2026	Ślęza Wrocław(home)	3-1	III Liga - Group 3

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Carina Gubin win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Stilon Gorzów win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jul 25, 2026	Stilon Gorzów 1-1 Carina Gubin	Friendlies Clubs
May 31, 2025	Carina Gubin 0-0 Stilon Gorzów	III Liga - Group 3
Nov 9, 2024	Stilon Gorzów 0-3 Carina Gubin	III Liga - Group 3
Mar 30, 2024	Carina Gubin 1-5 Stilon Gorzów	III Liga - Group 3
Sep 2, 2023	Stilon Gorzów 0-1 Carina Gubin	III Liga - Group 3
May 24, 2023	Stilon Gorzów 0-3 Carina Gubin	III Liga - Group 3

Last archived meeting: Stilon Gorzów vs Carina Gubin on Jul 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Carina Gubin score 1.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Stilon Gorzów score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Carina Gubin	1.4	1.7	1	11/15	10/15
Stilon Gorzów	1.7	1.2	4	9/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Carina Gubin sit 15th in III Liga - Group 3 (4 points from 5 matches) and Stilon Gorzów sit 11th (7 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
11	Stilon Gorzów	5	2	1	2	9	6	7
15	Carina Gubin	5	1	1	3	4	12	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Carina Gubin vs Stilon Gorzów?: The Footlab model makes Stilon Gorzów the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Carina Gubin.
Where and when is Carina Gubin vs Stilon Gorzów played?: Carina Gubin vs Stilon Gorzów is played on September 26, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski Gubin, in the III Liga - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.