Stockport County vs Barnsley: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Edgeley Park, Stockport, Greater Manchester
The Footlab model makes Stockport County the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Barnsley. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stockport County vs Barnsley?
Stockport County starts as the favourite with a 138-point Elo edge (1,924 vs 1,786).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stockport County have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Barnsley have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Blackpool(home) | 1-2 | League One |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Everton U21(home) | 6-3 | EFL Trophy |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Plymouth(away) | 3-1 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Doncaster(home) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Preston(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Doncaster(away) | 0-0 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bromley(home) | 0-1 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wigan(home) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Guiseley AFC(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lincoln(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Stockport County win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Barnsley win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Barnsley 1-3 Stockport County | League One |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Stockport County 1-1 Barnsley | League One |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Stockport County 2-1 Barnsley | League One |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Barnsley 1-1 Stockport County | League One |
Last archived meeting: Barnsley vs Stockport County on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Stockport County score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Barnsley score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stockport County | 1.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Barnsley | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stockport County sit 9th in League One (3 points from 2 matches) and Barnsley sit 21st (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Stockport County | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 21 | Barnsley | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stockport County vs Barnsley?
- The Footlab model makes Stockport County the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Barnsley.
- Where and when is Stockport County vs Barnsley played?
- Stockport County vs Barnsley is played on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Edgeley Park, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.