Workington vs Gainsborough Trinity: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 20Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Borough Park, Workington, Cumbria
The Footlab AI model makes Workington the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Gainsborough Trinity. The most likely score is 1-1. If Workington wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Workington vs Gainsborough Trinity?
A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Workington (1,764) and Gainsborough Trinity (1,828).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Workington vs Gainsborough Trinity
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Workington
Not enough data to predict the Workington lineup.
Gainsborough Trinity
Not enough data to predict the Gainsborough Trinity lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 10:54 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Workington have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Gainsborough Trinity have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Whitby Town(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Quorn(away) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Warrington Town(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Cleethorpes Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 29, 2026 | AFC Emley(away) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Ilkeston Town(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 10, 2026 | AFC Emley(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Whitby Town(away) | 6-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Anstey Nomads(home) | 2-3 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Bury(away) | 3-4 | FA Trophy |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Workington wins, 2 draws, 4 Gainsborough Trinity wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gainsborough Trinity 2-0 Workington | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Gainsborough Trinity 3-3 Workington | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 21, 2025 | Workington 1-2 Gainsborough Trinity | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Workington 1-1 Gainsborough Trinity | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Gainsborough Trinity 3-0 Workington | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Gainsborough Trinity 4-2 Workington | Non League Premier - Northern |
Last archived meeting: Gainsborough Trinity vs Workington on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Workington score 2.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Gainsborough Trinity score 2.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Workington | 2.1 | 1.9 | 2 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
| Gainsborough Trinity | 2.3 | 1.6 | 2 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Workington sit 9th in Non League Premier - Northern (21 points from 14 matches) and Gainsborough Trinity sit 6th (22 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Gainsborough Trinity | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 22 |
| 9 | Workington | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 24 | 21 |
A question about Workington vs Gainsborough Trinity?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Workington vs Gainsborough Trinity?
- The Footlab AI model makes Workington the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Gainsborough Trinity.
- Where and when is Workington vs Gainsborough Trinity played?
- Workington vs Gainsborough Trinity is played on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Borough Park, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.