Watford vs Stoke City: result 1-2 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Vicarage Road, Watford
Full time
What was the result of Watford vs Stoke City?
Stoke City won 1-2 on September 12, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 45′J. McGlynnStoke City
- 57′E. BocatStoke City
- 90′Amin NabizadaWatford
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Watford win at 41%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 1-2.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Watford vs Stoke City
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Watford
4-2-3-1- 20M. Doumbia
- 45S. Mavididi
- 17Iker Bravo
- 7O. Maamma
- 5H. Kyprianou
- 39E. Kayembe
- 33J. Zemura
- 3S. Coulibaly
- 6M. Pollock
- 4K. Keben
- 1F. Ravaglia
Stoke City
3-5-2- 7J. McGlynn
- 11L. Cissé
- 17E. Bocat
- 8E. Galbraith
- 27El Hadji Djibril Soumaré
- 13J. Devenny
- 2B. Johnson
- 5L. Graham
- 40M. Talovierov
- 16B. Wilmot
- 1V. Johansson
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Watford have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Stoke City have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 8, 2026 | Preston(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 5, 2026 | West Brom(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Swansea(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Aug 29, 2026 | West Ham(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Aug 25, 2026 | Peterborough(home) | 1-5 | League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 8, 2026 | Cardiff(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Charlton(home) | 4-0 | Championship |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Norwich(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Wolves(away) | 1-4 | Championship |
| Aug 25, 2026 | Hull City(home) | 1-1 | League Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Watford wins, 2 draws, 2 Stoke City wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Stoke City 3-1 Watford | Championship |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Watford 1-0 Stoke City | Championship |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Stoke City 0-0 Watford | Championship |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Watford 3-0 Stoke City | Championship |
| Dec 29, 2023 | Watford 1-1 Stoke City | Championship |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Stoke City 1-0 Watford | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Stoke City vs Watford on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Watford score 1.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Stoke City score 1.1 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford | 1.0 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Stoke City | 1.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Watford sit 20th in Championship (14 points from 14 matches) and Stoke City sit 4th (26 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Stoke City | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 17 | 26 |
| 20 | Watford | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 23 | 14 |
A question about Watford vs Stoke City?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy