Super Nova vs Grobiņa: prediction and stats
VirsligaRegular Season - 32Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Slokas Stadiona
The Footlab AI model makes Super Nova the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Grobiņa. The most likely score is 1-1. If Super Nova wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Super Nova vs Grobiņa?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Super Nova (1,581) and Grobiņa (1,523).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Super Nova vs Grobiņa
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Super Nova
4-2-3-1- 10V. Lizunovs
- 9Bamba
- 8I. Patrikejevs
- 6E. Emsis
- 15R. Ķiršs
- 24R. Šitjakovs
- 25M. Ošs
- 5J. Cīrulis
- 3R. Iida
- 16K. Romanovs
- 90D. Veisbuks
Grobiņa
4-4-2- 99A. Puzirevskis
- 13A. Aruna
- 6M. Corryn
- 87J. Ribeiro
- 88I. Tyshchenko
- 11O. Raščevskis
- 15A. Jovanović
- 3D. Družiņins
- 27R. Baravykas
- 2K. Rupeiks
- 21R. Ozols
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:07 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Super Nova have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Grobiņa have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Ogre United(away) | 0-1 | Virsliga |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Riga(home) | 0-1 | Virsliga |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Tukums(home) | 1-0 | Virsliga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | FS Jelgava(away) | 1-0 | Virsliga |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Auda(away) | 1-1 | Virsliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Tukums(away) | 1-1 | Virsliga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | FS Jelgava(home) | 0-0 | Virsliga |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Auda(away) | 0-1 | Virsliga |
| Aug 29, 2026 | BFC Daugavpils(home) | 1-0 | Virsliga |
| Aug 21, 2026 | FK Liepaja(away) | 1-3 | Virsliga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Super Nova wins, 3 draws, 0 Grobiņa wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 20, 2026 | Super Nova 2-0 Grobiņa | Virsliga |
| May 20, 2026 | Grobiņa 0-2 Super Nova | Virsliga |
| Apr 9, 2026 | Grobiņa 0-1 Super Nova | Virsliga |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Grobiņa 0-0 Super Nova | Virsliga |
| Jul 26, 2025 | Super Nova 0-0 Grobiņa | Virsliga |
| May 26, 2025 | Grobiņa 1-1 Super Nova | Virsliga |
Last archived meeting: Super Nova vs Grobiņa on Jul 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Super Nova score 0.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Grobiņa score 0.8 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Super Nova | 0.7 | 1.2 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Grobiņa | 0.8 | 1.7 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Super Nova sit 6th in Virsliga (35 points from 30 matches) and Grobiņa sit 8th (26 points from 31 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Super Nova | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 29 | 40 | 35 |
| 8 | Grobiņa | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 21 | 52 | 26 |
A question about Super Nova vs Grobiņa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Super Nova vs Grobiņa?
- The Footlab AI model makes Super Nova the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Grobiņa.
- Where and when is Super Nova vs Grobiņa played?
- Super Nova vs Grobiņa is played on October 10, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Slokas Stadiona, in the Virsliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.