Sutton Utd vs Truro City: prediction and stats
FA Cup4th Round QualifyingKick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)VBS Community Stadium, Sutton, Surrey
The Footlab AI model makes Truro City the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Sutton Utd. The most likely score is 1-1. If Truro City wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sutton Utd vs Truro City?
Truro City starts as the favourite with a 104-point Elo edge (1,906 vs 1,802).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sutton Utd vs Truro City
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sutton Utd
4-3-3- 9T. Babalola
- 16B. Njoku
- 18D. Ogbonna
- 8J. Taylor
- 7E. Osadebe
- 14O. Mussa
- 5W. Nightingale
- 27B. Brookes
- 15J. Moore-Taylor
- 12D. Urpens
- 1S. Brits
Truro City
4-3-3- 15L. Jephcott
- 25S. Donnellan
- 37Tom Tweedy
- 2Z. Bell
- 33T. Dean
- 23B. Starkie
- 26M. Kinsey-Wellings
- 20R. Law
- 4W. Dean
- 5T. Harrison
- 1D. Lavercombe
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 09:46 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sutton Utd have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Truro City have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | West Bromwich Albion U21(home) | 3-2 | National League Cup |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Boreham Wood(home) | 0-2 | National League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Kidderminster Harriers(away) | 1-1 | National League |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Tamworth(away) | 0-2 | National League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Forest Green(home) | 3-3 | National League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Birmingham City U21(home) | 3-0 | National League Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Braintree(away) | 2-1 | National League - South |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Farnham Town(away) | 2-2 | National League - South |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Cirencester Town(home) | 4-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Maidstone Utd(away) | 2-1 | National League - South |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Sutton Utd wins, 0 draws, 1 Truro City win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Sutton Utd 0-3 Truro City | National League |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Truro City 2-3 Sutton Utd | National League |
| Dec 16, 2017 | Sutton Utd 1-0 Truro City | FA Trophy |
Last archived meeting: Sutton Utd vs Truro City on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sutton Utd score 1.0 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Truro City score 2.1 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sutton Utd | 1.0 | 1.4 | 3 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Truro City | 2.1 | 0.7 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Sutton Utd vs Truro City?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sutton Utd vs Truro City?
- The Footlab AI model makes Truro City the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Sutton Utd.
- Where and when is Sutton Utd vs Truro City played?
- Sutton Utd vs Truro City is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at VBS Community Stadium, in the FA Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.