Svetkavitsa 14 vs Septemvri Dragoevo: prediction and stats
Third League - NortheastNortheast - 4Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Septemvri Dragoevo the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Svetkavitsa 14. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Svetkavitsa 14 vs Septemvri Dragoevo?
A very open match: only 83 Elo points separate Svetkavitsa 14 (1,389) and Septemvri Dragoevo (1,472).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Svetkavitsa 14 have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Septemvri Dragoevo have 1, 0 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dorostol(away) | 4-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 30, 2026 | Spartak Varna II(away) | 1-1 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 23, 2026 | Cherno more II(home) | 0-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 16, 2026 | Chernomorets Balchik(away) | 0-2 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 13, 2026 | Fratria II(home) | 2-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Aksakovo(home) | 4-2 | Third League - Northeast |
How many goals should we expect?
Svetkavitsa 14 score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Septemvri Dragoevo score 4.0 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svetkavitsa 14 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 5 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Septemvri Dragoevo | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0 | 1/1 | 1/1 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Svetkavitsa 14 | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 26 | 48 | 29 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Svetkavitsa 14 vs Septemvri Dragoevo?
- The Footlab model makes Septemvri Dragoevo the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Svetkavitsa 14.
- Where and when is Svetkavitsa 14 vs Septemvri Dragoevo played?
- Svetkavitsa 14 vs Septemvri Dragoevo is played on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC), in the Third League - Northeast.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.