Volov Shumen vs Fratria II: prediction and stats
Third League - NortheastNortheast - 4Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Panayot Volov, Shumen
The Footlab model makes Volov Shumen the favourite at 93%, against 5% for a draw and 2% for Fratria II. The most likely score is 4-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Volov Shumen vs Fratria II?
Volov Shumen is a heavy favourite: 1,595 Elo points against 1,279, a 317-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Volov Shumen have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Fratria II have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Septemvri Tervel(away) | 1-1 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 30, 2026 | Fratria II(away) | 7-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 23, 2026 | Riltzi(home) | 9-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 17, 2026 | Benkovski Isperih(away) | 2-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 13, 2026 | Chernolomets 1919(home) | 5-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Botev Novi Pazar(home) | 3-6 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 30, 2026 | Volov Shumen(home) | 0-7 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 24, 2026 | Aksakovo(away) | 1-3 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 16, 2026 | Botev Novi Pazar(home) | 3-2 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 13, 2026 | Svetkavitsa 14(away) | 0-2 | Third League - Northeast |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Volov Shumen win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Fratria II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Fratria II 0-7 Volov Shumen | Third League - Northeast |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Volov Shumen 5-0 Fratria II | Third League - Northeast |
Last archived meeting: Fratria II vs Volov Shumen on May 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Volov Shumen score 3.3 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Fratria II score 1.5 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 84% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volov Shumen | 3.3 | 0.5 | 10 | 4/15 | 9/15 |
| Fratria II | 1.5 | 2.7 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Volov Shumen sit 8th in Third League - Northeast (1 points from 1 matches) and Fratria II sit 15th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Volov Shumen | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 15 | Fratria II | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Volov Shumen vs Fratria II?
- The Footlab model makes Volov Shumen the favourite at 93%, against 5% for a draw and 2% for Fratria II.
- Where and when is Volov Shumen vs Fratria II played?
- Volov Shumen vs Fratria II is played on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Panayot Volov, in the Third League - Northeast.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 84% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.