Swit vs ŁKS Łódź II: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 12Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki
The Footlab model makes Swit the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for ŁKS Łódź II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Swit vs ŁKS Łódź II?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Swit (1,688) and ŁKS Łódź II (1,645).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Swit have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; ŁKS Łódź II have 1, 2 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Wigry Suwałki(away) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Widzew II(away) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Olimpia Zambrów(home) | 4-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki(away) | 3-4 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Weszlo(home) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Pelikan Łowicz(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Warta Sieradz(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Znicz Pruszków(away) | 1-3 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Swit win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 ŁKS Łódź II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 20, 2023 | ŁKS Łódź II 1-1 Swit | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 15, 2022 | Swit 0-2 ŁKS Łódź II | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Jun 18, 2022 | ŁKS Łódź II 6-1 Swit | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Nov 20, 2021 | Swit 0-0 ŁKS Łódź II | III Liga - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Swit score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; ŁKS Łódź II score 0.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swit | 1.7 | 1.6 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| ŁKS Łódź II | 0.9 | 2.1 | 0 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Swit sit 8th in III Liga - Group 1 (8 points from 5 matches) and ŁKS Łódź II sit 18th (0 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Swit | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 8 |
| 18 | ŁKS Łódź II | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Swit vs ŁKS Łódź II?
- The Footlab model makes Swit the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for ŁKS Łódź II.
- Where and when is Swit vs ŁKS Łódź II played?
- Swit vs ŁKS Łódź II is played on October 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 10, 2026Wigry SuwałkivsWarta Sieradz
- Oct 10, 2026Olimpia ElblągvsMławianka Mława
- Oct 10, 2026Olimpia ZambrówvsLechia T. Mazowiecki
- Oct 10, 2026Wisła Płock IIvsTroszyn
- Oct 10, 2026Polonia Lidzbark Warm.vsŁomża
- Oct 10, 2026Widzew IIvsWeszlo
- Oct 10, 2026Ząbkovia ZąbkivsJagiellonia II
- Oct 10, 2026Mazovia Minsk MazowieckivsPelikan Łowicz