Where and when is Polonia Lidzbark Warm. vs Łomża played?

Polonia Lidzbark Warm. vs Łomża is played on October 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the III Liga - Group 1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Polonia Lidzbark Warm. vs Łomża: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 1Group I - 12Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)

Polonia Lidzbark Warm.

Łomża

The Footlab model makes Łomża the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Polonia Lidzbark Warm.. The most likely score is 1-2.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Polonia Lidzbark Warm. vs Łomża?

Łomża starts as the favourite with a 177-point Elo edge (1,842 vs 1,664).

Polonia Lidzbark Warm. win21 %

Draw21 %

Łomża win58 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Polonia Lidzbark Warm. have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Łomża have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Polonia Lidzbark Warm.
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Widzew II(away)	1-4	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026	Olimpia Zambrów(home)	2-3	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 15, 2026	Wisła Płock II(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 7, 2026	Olimpia Elbląg(away)	2-4	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 1, 2026	Swit(home)	1-2	III Liga - Group 1

Łomża
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Mławianka Mława(home)	0-0	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026	Wisła Płock II(away)	1-1	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 14, 2026	Lechia T. Mazowiecki(away)	2-5	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 8, 2026	Weszlo(home)	0-1	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 1, 2026	Pelikan Łowicz(away)	2-3	III Liga - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Polonia Lidzbark Warm. win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Łomża win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 30, 2025	Łomża 2-3 Polonia Lidzbark Warm.	III Liga - Group 1
Nov 8, 2024	Polonia Lidzbark Warm. 1-1 Łomża	III Liga - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Łomża vs Polonia Lidzbark Warm. on May 30, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Polonia Lidzbark Warm. score 1.2 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Łomża score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Polonia Lidzbark Warm.	1.2	1.8	3	10/15	9/15
Łomża	1.7	1.3	5	8/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Polonia Lidzbark Warm. sit 16th in III Liga - Group 1 (1 points from 5 matches) and Łomża sit 15th (2 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
15	Łomża	5	0	2	3	5	10	2
16	Polonia Lidzbark Warm.	5	0	1	4	7	14	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Polonia Lidzbark Warm. vs Łomża?: The Footlab model makes Łomża the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Polonia Lidzbark Warm..
Where and when is Polonia Lidzbark Warm. vs Łomża played?: Polonia Lidzbark Warm. vs Łomża is played on October 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the III Liga - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.