Warta Sieradz vs Wigry Suwałki: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 12Kick-off on October 9, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion MOSiR, Sieradz
The Footlab AI model makes Warta Sieradz the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Wigry Suwałki. The most likely score is 1-1. If Warta Sieradz wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Warta Sieradz vs Wigry Suwałki?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Warta Sieradz (1,802) and Wigry Suwałki (1,797).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Warta Sieradz vs Wigry Suwałki
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Warta Sieradz
Not enough data to predict the Warta Sieradz lineup.
Wigry Suwałki
4-3-3- 77K. Noworyta
- 9B. Guzdek
- 8B. Baranowicz
- 89B. Gużewski
- 10M. Kluska
- 70M. Bajdur
- 66P. Witasik
- 18K. Magnuszewski
- 2Bruno Sowulewski
- 41Olaf Gohlike
- 43Mateusz Taudul
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 06:12 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Warta Sieradz have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Wigry Suwałki have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Olimpia Zambrów(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Olimpia Elbląg(home) | 4-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Swit(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Wisła Płock II(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(away) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Widzew II(home) | 6-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Olimpia Zambrów(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(home) | 1-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Warta Sieradz wins, 0 draws, 1 Wigry Suwałki win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2026 | Warta Sieradz 2-1 Wigry Suwałki | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Wigry Suwałki 1-2 Warta Sieradz | III Liga - Group 1 |
| May 31, 2025 | Warta Sieradz 3-2 Wigry Suwałki | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Nov 8, 2024 | Wigry Suwałki 4-0 Warta Sieradz | III Liga - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Warta Sieradz vs Wigry Suwałki on May 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Warta Sieradz score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Wigry Suwałki score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warta Sieradz | 1.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Wigry Suwałki | 1.7 | 1.3 | 6 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Warta Sieradz sit 9th in III Liga - Group 1 (15 points from 10 matches) and Wigry Suwałki sit 2nd (22 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wigry Suwałki | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 19 | 10 | 22 |
| 9 | Warta Sieradz | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 16 | 15 |
A question about Warta Sieradz vs Wigry Suwałki?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Warta Sieradz vs Wigry Suwałki?
- The Footlab AI model makes Warta Sieradz the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Wigry Suwałki.
- Where and when is Warta Sieradz vs Wigry Suwałki played?
- Warta Sieradz vs Wigry Suwałki is played on October 9, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion MOSiR, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 10, 2026Mazovia Minsk MazowieckivsPelikan Łowicz
- Oct 10, 2026Olimpia ElblągvsMławianka Mława
- Oct 10, 2026Wisła Płock IIvsTroszyn
- Oct 10, 2026Ząbkovia ZąbkivsJagiellonia II
- Oct 10, 2026SwitvsŁKS Łódź II
- Oct 10, 2026Polonia Lidzbark Warm.vsŁomża
- Oct 11, 2026Widzew IIvsWeszlo
- Oct 11, 2026Olimpia ZambrówvsLechia T. Mazowiecki